Temporary Layoffs, Loss-of-Recall, and Cyclical Unemployment Dynamics

By Mark Gertler, Christopher Huckfeldt, and Antonella Trigari

American Economic Review, March 2026

We revisit the role of temporary layoffs in the business cycle. While some have emphasized a stabilizing effect due to recall hiring, we quantify from the data an important countercyclical destabilizing effect due to "loss-of-recall," whereby workers in t...

Why Is Workplace Sexual Harassment Underreported? The Value of Outside Options amid the Threat of Retaliation

By Gordon B. Dahl and Matthew Knepper

American Economic Review, March 2026

Why is workplace sexual harassment chronically underreported? We hypothesize that employers coerce victims into silence through the threat of a retaliatory firing. To test this, we estimate how two external shocks that reduce workers' outside options—un...

Sequential Cursed Equilibrium

By Shani Cohen and Shengwu Li

American Economic Review, March 2026

We propose an extensive-form solution concept, with players who neglect information from hypothetical events but make inferences from observed events. Our concept modifies cursed equilibrium (Eyster and Rabin 2005) and allows that players can be cursed ab...

Equal Pay for Similar Work

By Diego Gentile Passaro, Fuhito Kojima, and Bobak Pakzad-Hurson

American Economic Review, March 2026

Equal pay laws increasingly require that workers with different group identities doing "similar" work are paid equal wages within firm. We study such "equal pay for similar work" (EPSW) policies theoretically and test our models' predictions empirically u...

Dynamics of the Long-Term Housing Yield: Evidence from Natural Experiments

By Verónica Bäcker-Peral, Jonathon Hazell, and Atif Mian

American Economic Review, March 2026

Each month, a fraction of UK property leases are extended by 90 years or more. We construct a new dataset using thousands of these natural experiments since 2000 and estimate the expected long-term housing yield, y*. After remaining steady at around 5 per...

The Price of War

By Jonathan Federle, André Meier, Gernot J. Müller, Willi Mutschler, and Moritz Schularick

American Economic Review, March 2026

We assemble a new dataset spanning 150 years and 60 countries to study the economic toll of war. A war of average intensity is associated with an output drop of close to 10 percent in the war-site economy, while consumer prices rise by approximately 20 pe...

What You Don't Know May Be Good for You

By Johannes Hörner and Larry Samuelson

American Economic Review, March 2026

We consider an economy in which long-lived experts are matched with short-lived clients. Experts choose the type of client with whom they match, unobserved by the market. The interaction outcome depends on both the expert's and the client's type. We study...

The Value of Clean Water: Experimental Evidence from Rural India

By Fiona Burlig, Amir Jina, and Anant Sudarshan

American Economic Review, March 2026

Over 2 billion people lack clean drinking water. Existing solutions face high costs (piped water) or low demand (point-of-use chlorine). Using a 60,000 household cluster-randomized experiment, we test an alternative approach: decentralized treatment and h...

The Women’s Institute for a Secure Retirement (WISER) 2026 iOme Challenge

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February 27, 2026

The submission deadline is May 10, 2026.

CTREE Conference 2026

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May 27–29, 2026 | Rio Hotel, Las Vegas

Submissions for the AEA Annual Meeting

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ASSA Annual Meeting

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Call for Submissions for AEAStat Sessions at the ASSA Annual Meeting

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The Committee on Economic Statistics sponsors sessions every year at the ASSA Annual Meeting.

About CSWEP

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CSWEP’s past and present–our mission, our history, what we do and who we are.

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics Editor Search — Request for Suggestions

[News]

March 02, 2026

View the AEA Member Announcement from March 2, 2026.

CeMENT: Mentoring for Junior Faculty

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Information on the CeMENT mentoring program

Conservation Priorities and Environmental Offsets: Markets for Florida Wetlands

By Daniel Aronoff and Will Rafey

American Economic Review

We introduce an empirical framework for valuing markets in environmental offsets. Using newly-collected data on wetland conservation and offsets, we apply this framework to evaluate a set of decentralized markets in Florida, where land developers purch...

CSQIEP: ASSA Meeting

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Call for papers for the CSQIEP Research Award, the upcoming Annual Meeting, and other opportunities

Globalization, Capital Taxation, and Development: Evidence from a Macro-Historical Database

By Pierre Bachas, Matthew Fisher-Post, Anders Jensen, and Gabriel Zucman

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics

This paper builds and analyzes a new global macro-historical database of effective tax rates on capital and labor in 154 countries. We establish a new stylized fact: while effective capital tax rates fell in developed countries between 1965 and 2018, th...

Committee on the Status of LGBTQ+ Individuals in the Economics Profession

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