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Electric Vehicles and the Energy Transition: Unintended Consequences of Time-of-Use Pricing

By Megan R. Bailey, David P. Brown, Erica Myers, Blake Shaffer, and Frank A. Wolak

American Economic Review: Insights, December 2025

The growth of electric vehicles (EVs) raises new challenges for electricity systems. We implement a field experiment to assess the effect of time-of-use (TOU) pricing and managed charging on EV charging behavior. We find that while TOU pricing is effectiv...

Long-Term and Lasting Impacts of Personal Initiative Training on Entrepreneurial Success

By Francisco Campos, Michael Frese, Leonardo Iacovone, Hillary C. Johnson, David McKenzie, and Mona Mensmann

American Economic Review: Insights, December 2025

A randomized experiment in Togo found that personal initiative training for small businesses resulted in large and significant impacts for both men and women after two years. We revisit these entrepreneurs after seven years and find long-lasting average i...

Gender Differences in Financial Advice

By Tabea Bucher-Koenen, Andreas Hackethal, Johannes Koenen, and Christine Laudenbach

American Economic Review, December 2025

Based on data gathered from 27,000 real-world meetings between financial advisors and clients of a large German bank, we show that advisors offer more self-serving advice to women, while men are more likely to receive sales fee rebates and less likely to ...

A Goldilocks Theory of Fiscal Deficits

By Atif Mian, Ludwig Straub, and Amir Sufi

American Economic Review, December 2025

We develop a tractable framework for deficit and debt dynamics. A "free lunch" fiscal deficit—one that raises spending without higher future taxes—is sustainable without zero lower bound (ZLB) only when R < G − φ, where φ is the sensitivity of the...

Firm Responses and Wage Effects of Foreign Demand Shocks with Fixed Labor Costs and Monopsony

By Emmanuel Dhyne, Ayumu Ken Kikkawa, Toshiaki Komatsu, Magne Mogstad, and Felix Tintelnot

American Economic Review, December 2025

We quantify the firm responses and real wage effects of foreign demand shocks. We use Belgian microdata to construct firm-specific measures of demand shocks, which capture that firms pass on foreign demand shocks to domestic suppliers. Our estimates of fi...

When Product Markets Become Collective Traps: The Case of Social Media

By Leonardo Bursztyn, Benjamin Handel, Rafael Jiménez-Durán, and Christopher Roth

American Economic Review, December 2025

Individuals might experience negative utility from not consuming a popular product. With such externalities to nonusers, standard consumer surplus measures, which take aggregate consumption as given, fail to appropriately capture consumer welfare. We prop...

Changing Income Risk across the US Skill Distribution: Evidence from a Generalized Kalman Filter

By J. Carter Braxton, Kyle Herkenhoff, Jonathan Rothbaum, and Lawrence Schmidt

American Economic Review, December 2025

For whom has earnings risk changed, and why? We answer these questions by combining the Kalman filter and EM algorithm to estimate persistent and temporary earnings for every individual at every point in time. We apply our method to administrative earning...