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Asymmetric Attention

By Alexandre N. Kohlhas and Ansgar Walther

American Economic Review, September 2021

We document that the expectations of households, firms, and professional forecasters in standard surveys simultaneously extrapolate from recent events and underreact to new information. Existing models of expectation formation, whether behavioral or ratio...

Justified Communication Equilibrium

By Daniel Clark and Drew Fudenberg

American Economic Review, September 2021

Justified communication equilibrium (JCE) is an equilibrium refinement for signaling games with cheap-talk communication. A strategy profile must be a JCE to be a stable outcome of nonequilibrium learning when receivers are initially trusting and senders ...