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A Theory of Demand Shocks

By Guido Lorenzoni

American Economic Review, December 2009

This paper presents a model of business cycles driven by shocks to consumer expectations regarding aggregate productivity. Agents are hit by heterogeneous productivity shocks, they observe their own productivity and a noisy public signal regarding aggr...

Tax Reform Unraveling

[Symposium: U.S. Tax Policy in International Perspective]

By Michael J. Graetz

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 2007

The Tax Reform Act of 1986 was widely heralded as the most significant change in our nation's tax law since the income tax was extended to the masses during World War II. It was the crowning domestic policy achievement of President Ronald Reagan, who proc...

How Special Is the Special Relationship? Using the Impact of U.S. R&D Spillovers on U.K. Firms as a Test of Technology Sourcing

By Rachel Griffith, Rupert Harrison, and John Van Reenen

American Economic Review, December 2006

We examine the "technology sourcing" hypothesis that foreign research labs located in the U.S. tap into U.S. R&D spillovers and improve home country productivity. We show that U.K. firms that established a high proportion of inventors based in the U.S. by...

Wage Posting and Business Cycles

By Giuseppe Moscarini and Fabien Postel-Vinay

American Economic Review, May 2016

The canonical model of job search and wage posting (Burdett and Mortensen, 1998) establishes a natural connection between the average wage growth in the economy and the pace of Employer-to-Employer (EE) transitions, predicting wage growth to be positively...