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Childhood Health Shocks and the Intergenerational Transmission of Inequality

By Tine M. Eriksen, Amanda P. Gaulke, Jannet Svensson, Niels Skipper, and Peter R. Thingholm

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy

This paper documents a socioeconomic gradient in adult labor market penalties stemming from a single chronic and treatable childhood health shock in a country with universal access to healthcare. Using childhood onset Type 1 Diabetes, Danish administrat...

How Effective Are R&D Tax Incentives? Reconciling the Micro and Macro Evidence

By Silvia Appelt, Matěj Bajgar, Chiara Criscuolo, and Fernando Galindo-Rueda

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy

Recent firm-level studies find R&D tax incentives to be much more effective at stimulating firms’ R&D investment than aggregate analyses suggest. Based on a distributed analysis of official R&D survey and administrative tax relief microdata for 19 OE...

Robust Misspecified Models

By Cuimin Ba

American Economic Review

This paper studies which misspecified models are likely to persist when decisionmakers compare them with competing models. The main result characterizes such models based on two features that can be derived from primitives: the model’s asymptotic acc...

Highway to Hitler

By Nico Voigtländer and Hans-Joachim Voth

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, January 2026

We show that the building of the Autobahn network in Nazi Germany boosted popular support for Adolf Hitler, helping to entrench the Nazi dictatorship. Direct local economic benefits are unlikely to explain the effect. Instead, it reflects successful propa...

Breaking Bad: How Health Shocks Prompt Crime

By Steffen Andersen, Elin Colmsjö, Gianpaolo Parise, and Kim Peijnenburg

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, January 2026

Exploiting plausibly exogenous variations in the timing of cancer diagnoses, we establish that health shocks elicit a large and persistent increase in the probability of committing a crime. This effect materializes in a substantial rise in both first crim...