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Experimenting with Career Concerns

By Marina Halac and Ilan Kremer

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, February 2020

A manager who learns privately about a project over time may want to delay quitting it if recognizing failure/lack of success hurts his reputation. In the banking industry, managers may want to roll over bad loans. How do distortions depend on expected pr...

From Communism to Capitalism: Private versus Public Property and Inequality in China and Russia

By Filip Novokmet, Thomas Piketty, Li Yang, and Gabriel Zucman

AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2018

This paper combines national accounts, survey, wealth, and fiscal data (including recently released tax data on high-income taxpayers) in order to provide consistent series on the accumulation and distribution of income and wealth in China and Russia over...

Unhappiness and Pain in Modern America: A Review Essay, and Further Evidence, on Carol Graham's Happiness for All?

By David G. Blanchflower and Andrew J. Oswald

Journal of Economic Literature, June 2019

In Happiness for All? Unequal Hopes and Lives in the Pursuit of the American Dream, Carol Graham raises disquieting ideas about today's United States. The challenge she puts forward is an important one. Here we review the intellectual case and of...

The Quanto Theory of Exchange Rates

By Lukas Kremens and Ian Martin

American Economic Review, March 2019

We present a new identity that relates expected exchange rate appreciation to a risk-neutral covariance term, and use it to motivate a currency forecasting variable based on the prices of quanto index contracts. We show via panel regressions that the quan...

Space, the Final Economic Frontier

By Matthew Weinzierl

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2018

After decades of centralized control of economic activity in space, NASA and US policymakers have begun to cede the direction of human activities in space to commercial companies. NASA garnered more than 0.7 percent of GDP in the mid-1960s, but is only ...

The Impact of Monitoring in Infinitely Repeated Games: Perfect, Public, and Private

By Masaki Aoyagi, V. Bhaskar, and Guillaume R. Fréchette

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, February 2019

This paper uses a laboratory experiment to study the effect of the monitoring structure on the play of the infinitely repeated prisoner's dilemma. Keeping the strategic form of the stage game fixed, we examine the behavior of subjects when information abo...