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Experimenting with Career Concerns

By Marina Halac and Ilan Kremer

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, February 2020

A manager who learns privately about a project over time may want to delay quitting it if recognizing failure/lack of success hurts his reputation. In the banking industry, managers may want to roll over bad loans. How do distortions depend on expected pr...

From Communism to Capitalism: Private versus Public Property and Inequality in China and Russia

By Filip Novokmet, Thomas Piketty, Li Yang, and Gabriel Zucman

AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2018

This paper combines national accounts, survey, wealth, and fiscal data (including recently released tax data on high-income taxpayers) in order to provide consistent series on the accumulation and distribution of income and wealth in China and Russia over...

Unhappiness and Pain in Modern America: A Review Essay, and Further Evidence, on Carol Graham's Happiness for All?

By David G. Blanchflower and Andrew J. Oswald

Journal of Economic Literature, June 2019

In Happiness for All? Unequal Hopes and Lives in the Pursuit of the American Dream, Carol Graham raises disquieting ideas about today's United States. The challenge she puts forward is an important one. Here we review the intellectual case and of...

The Quanto Theory of Exchange Rates

By Lukas Kremens and Ian Martin

American Economic Review, March 2019

We present a new identity that relates expected exchange rate appreciation to a risk-neutral covariance term, and use it to motivate a currency forecasting variable based on the prices of quanto index contracts. We show via panel regressions that the quan...