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CONDI: A Cost-of-Nominal-Distortions Index

By Stefano Eusepi, Bart Hobijn, and Andrea Tambalotti

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, July 2011

We construct a PCE-based price index whose weights minimize the welfare costs of nominal distortions: a cost-of-nominal-distortions index. We compute these weights in a multi-sector New Keynesian model, calibrated to match US data on price stickiness, lab...

Trade Policy and Loss Aversion

By Caroline Freund and Caglar Ozden

American Economic Review, September 2008

We develop a political economy model where loss aversion and reference dependence are important in shaping people’s preferences over trade policy. The policy implications of the augmented model differ in three ways: there is a region of compensating pro...

The Nominal Share Price Puzzle

By William C. Weld, Roni Michaely, Richard H. Thaler, and Shlomo Benartzi

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2009

The average nominal share prices of common stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange have remained constant at approximately $35 per share since the Great Depression as a result of stock splits. It is surprising that U.S. firms actively maintained cons...

Antitrust in Innovative Industries

By Ilya Segal and Michael D. Whinston

American Economic Review, December 2007

We study the effects of antitrust policy in industries with continual innovation. Antitrust policies that restrict incumbent behavior toward new entrants may have conflicting effects on innovation incentives, raising the profits of new entrants, but lo...

Tracking Decision Makers under Uncertainty

By Amos Arieli, Yaniv Ben-Ami, and Ariel Rubinstein

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, November 2011

Eye tracking is used to investigate the procedures that participants employ in choosing between two lotteries. Eye movement patterns in problems where the deliberation process is clearly identified are used to substantiate an interpretation of the results...

Historical Presidential Betting Markets

[Symposium: Event Markets]

By Paul W. Rhode and Koleman S. Strumpf

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2004

This paper analyzes the large and often well-organized markets for betting on U.S. presidential elections that operated between 1868 and 1940. Four main points are addressed. First, we show that the market did a remarkable job forecasting elections in an ...