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Bond Risk Premia

By John H. Cochrane and Monika Piazzesi

American Economic Review, March 2005

We study time variation in expected excess bond returns. We run regressions of one-year excess returns on initial forward rates. We find that a single factor, a single tent-shaped linear combination of forward rates, predicts excess returns on one- to fiv...

People Flows in Globalization

By Richard B. Freeman

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2006

The policy debate over globalization in the past decade has largely bypassed the international mobility of labor. Restrict trade and cries of protectionism resound. Suggest linking labor standards to trade and it's protectionism in disguise. Limit capital...