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Understanding Real Business Cycles

[Symposium: Real Business Cycles]

By Charles I. Plosser

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 1989

This brief essay is intended to provide readers with an introduction to the real business cycle approach to business fluctuations. It discusses the basic real business cycle framework; economic growth and business cycles; real business cycles and the 1954...

Nobel Laureate: Trygve Haavelmo

By Karl Ove Moene and Asbjorn Rodseth

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 1991

Trygve Haavelmo was in the United States from 1939 to 1947, and in this period he published most of his path-breaking contributions to econometrics for which the Nobel committee awarded him the prize. His list of publications after 1947 contains more than...

Will the Stork Return to Europe and Japan? Understanding Fertility within Developed Nations

[Symposium: Investment in Children]

By James Feyrer, Bruce Sacerdote, and Ariel Dora Stern

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2008

We seek to explain the differences in fertility rates across high-income countries by focusing on the interaction between the increasing status of women in the workforce and their status in the household, particularly with regards to child care and home p...

Claim Validation

By Nabil Al-Najjar, Luciano Pomatto, and Alvaro Sandroni

American Economic Review, November 2014

Hume (1748) challenged the idea that a general claim (e.g. "all swans are white") can be validated by empirical evidence, no matter how compelling. We examine this issue from the perspective of a tester who must accept or reject the forecasts of a potent...