Evaluating Econometric Evaluations of Post-Secondary Aid
- (pp. 502-07)
Abstract
In an ongoing evaluation of post-secondary financial aid, we use random assignment to assess the causal effects of large privately-funded aid awards. Here, we compare the unbiased causal effect estimates from our RCT with two types of non-experimental econometric estimates. The first applies a selection-on-observables assumption in data from an earlier, nonrandomized cohort; the second uses a regression discontinuity design. Selection-on-observables methods generate estimates well below the experimental benchmark. Regression discontinuity estimates are similar to experimental estimates for students near the cutoff, but sensitive to controlling for the running variable, which is unusually coarse.Citation
Angrist, Josh, David Autor, Sally Hudson, and Amanda Pallais. 2015. "Evaluating Econometric Evaluations of Post-Secondary Aid." American Economic Review, 105 (5): 502-07. DOI: 10.1257/aer.p20151025Additional Materials
JEL Classification
- C52 Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
- I22 Educational Finance; Financial Aid
- I23 Higher Education; Research Institutions