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The Productivity Consequences of Pollution-Induced Migration in China

By Gaurav Khanna, Wenquan Liang, Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak, and Ran Song

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, April 2025

We quantify how pollution affects aggregate productivity and welfare in spatial equilibrium. We show that skilled workers in China emigrate away from polluted cities. These patterns are evident under various empirical specifications, such as when instrume...

Sustainable Poverty Reduction through Social Assistance: Modality, Context, and Complementary Programming in Bangladesh

By Akhter Ahmed, Melissa Hidrobo, John Hoddinott, Bastien Kolt, Shalini Roy, and Salauddin Tauseef

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, April 2025

Social assistance programs can increase consumption and reduce poverty, but less is known about whether these impacts are sustained after programs end or how design and context influence sustainability. Using data collected in two regions of Bangladesh fo...

Childcare, Labor Supply, and Business Development: Experimental Evidence from Uganda

By Kjetil Bjorvatn, Denise Ferris, Selim Gulesci, Arne Nasgowitz, Vincent Somville, and Lore Vandewalle

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, April 2025

We randomly offered a childcare subsidy, an equivalent cash grant, or both to mothers of three-to-five-year-old children. The childcare subsidy substantially increased the labor supply and earnings of single mothers, highlighting the importance of time co...

The Long-Term Effects of Career Guidance in High School and Student Financial Aid: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment

By Laetitia Renée

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, April 2025

This paper studies the effects of a randomized control trial in which Canadian high school students were randomly invited to participate in a career guidance program during high school and/or made eligible for extra financial aid conditional on college en...

The High and Falling Price of Cement in Africa

By Fabrizio Leone, Rocco Macchiavello, and Tristan Reed

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, April 2025

Prices for several intermediate inputs, including cement, are higher in developing economies—particularly in Africa. Combining recent data from the International Comparison Program with a global directory of cement firms, we estimate an industry equilib...

Min(d)ing the President: A Text Analytic Approach to Measuring Tax News

By Lenard Lieb, Adam Jassem, Rui Jorge Almeida, Nalan Baştürk, and Stephan Smeekes

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, April 2025

Economic agents react to signals about future tax policy changes. Consequently, estimating their macroeconomic effects requires identification of such signals. We propose a novel text analytic approach for transforming textual information into an economic...