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From Sick Man of Europe to Economic Superstar: Germany's Resurgent Economy

By Christian Dustmann, Bernd Fitzenberger, Uta Schönberg, and Alexandra Spitz-Oener

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 2014

In the late 1990s and into the early 2000s, Germany was often called "the sick man of Europe." Indeed, Germany's economic growth averaged only about 1.2 percent per year from 1998 to 2005, including a recession in 2003, and unemployment rates rose from ...

Fraternities and Labor-Market Outcomes

By Sergey V. Popov and Dan Bernhardt

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, February 2012

We model how student choices to rush a fraternity, and fraternity admission choices, interact with signals firms receive about student productivities to determine labor-market outcomes. The fraternity and students value wages and fraternity socializing va...

Contracting on Time

By Sergei Guriev and Dmitriy Kvasov

American Economic Review, December 2005

The paper shows how time considerations, especially those concerning contract duration, affect incomplete contract theory. Time is not only a dimension along which the relationship unfolds, but also a continuous verifiable variable that can be included in...

Anomalies: Foreign Exchange

By Kenneth A. Froot and Richard H. Thaler

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 1990

In what follows, we discuss the efficiency of foreign exchange markets. To manage what would otherwise be an enormous task, the question of efficiency is viewed below from the perspective of a single type of test: the test for what is called the forward d...

Policy Reversal

By Espen R. Moen and Christian Riis

American Economic Review, June 2010

We analyze the existence of policy reversal, the phenomenon sometimes observed that a certain policy (say extreme left-wing) is implemented by the "unlikely" (right-wing) party. We formulate a Downsian signaling model where the incumbent government, throu...

CoVaR

By Tobias Adrian and Markus K. Brunnermeier

American Economic Review, July 2016

CoVaR, defined as the change in the value at risk of the financial system conditional on an institution being under distress relative to its median state. Our estimates show that characteristics such as leverage, size, maturity mismatch, and asset price b...