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The Growing Gap in Life Expectancy: Using the Future Elderly Model to Estimate Implications for Social Security and Medicare

By Dana P. Goldman and Peter R. Orszag

American Economic Review, May 2014

Mortality gradients by education and income have been rising in the United States and elsewhere. However, their impact on Social Security progressivity has received relatively little attention, and the impact on Medicare has received effectively none. Thi...

Comments on the Market Crash: Six Months After

[Symposium: Brady Commission Report on the October 1987 Stock Market Crash]

By Hayne Leland and Mark Rubinstein

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 1988

Six months after the market crash of October 1987, we are still sifting through the debris searching for its cause. Two theories of the crash sound plausible -- one based on a market panic and the other based on large trader transactions -- though there i...

The Tyranny of Budget Forecasts

By J. D. Foster and James C. Miller

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2000

The evolving federal budget process has placed increasing demands on, and given unique powers to, the economic forecasters at OMB, Treasury, CBO, and the Joint Tax Committee of Congress. On the whole, the forecasters have been highly professional in their...