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Fiscal Volatility Shocks and Economic Activity

By Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, Pablo Guerrón-Quintana, Keith Kuester, and Juan Rubio-Ramírez

American Economic Review, November 2015

We study how unexpected changes in uncertainty about fiscal policy affect economic activity. First, we estimate tax and spending processes for the United States with time-varying volatility to uncover evidence of time-varying volatility. Second, we estima...

Horizontal Merger Policy: Problems and Changes

[Symposium: Horizontal Mergers and Antitrust]

By Richard Schmalensee

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 1987

Most knowledgeable economists seem now to agree that the Department of Justice, the Federal Trade Commission, and the courts were excessively hostile to horizontal mergers in the 1960s. There also seems to be widespread agreement that the 1984 Merger Guid...

Ignorance Is Bliss: An Experimental Study of the Use of Ambiguity and Vagueness in the Coordination Games with Asymmetric Payoffs

By Marina Agranov and Andrew Schotter

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, May 2012

We consider a game where one player, the Announcer, has to communicate the value of a payoff relevant state of the world to a set of players who play a coordination game with multiple equilibria. While the Announcer and the players agree that coordination...

On the Salience of Ethnic Conflict

By Joan Esteban and Debraj Ray

American Economic Review, December 2008

A classical theme in social analysis views economic class divisions as the main cause of social conflict. Yet many, if not most of the conflicts we observe today appear to be ethnic in nature. It appears that the "vertical" nature of class divisions is of...

Testing Models of Consumer Search Using Data on Web Browsing and Purchasing Behavior

By Babur De Los Santos, Ali Hortaçsu, and Matthijs R. Wildenbeest

American Economic Review, October 2012

Using a large dataset on web browsing and purchasing behavior we test to what extent consumers are searching in accordance to various search models. We find that the benchmark model of sequential search with a known price distribution can be rejected base...