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Distortions, Producer Dynamics, and Aggregate Productivity: A General Equilibrium Analysis

By Stephen Ayerst, Loren Brandt, and Diego Restuccia

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, October 2026

In less developed economies, the allocation of factor inputs to more productive farms is often hindered. To analyze how distortions affect farm dynamics and agricultural productivity, we develop a model of heterogeneous farms investing in productivity imp...

Trade Protection Along Supply Chains

By Chad P. Bown, Paola Conconi, Aksel Erbahar, and Lorenzo Trimarchi

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy

We combine detailed information on US temporary trade barriers during 1989-2020 with input-output data to study the effects of trade protection along supply chains. We focus on measures imposed against China, which has been the main target of trade protec...

Racial Promotion Gaps

By Deepak Hegde, Alexander Ljungqvist, and Manav Raj

American Economic Review, October 2026

We study racial disparities in promotions in a setting in which promotions are formulaic: the US patent office. Using detailed administrative data that allow us to observe who is eligible for promotion when, we document that Black patent examiners experie...

Fighting for Growth: Labor Scarcity and Technological Progress during the British Industrial Revolution

By Hans-Joachim Voth ⓡ Bruno Caprettini ⓡ Alex Trew

American Economic Review, October 2026

We establish a link between labor scarcity and the adoption of laborsaving technology in industrializing England. During the Napoleonic Wars, more than 10 percent of the male population served in the armed forces. Where recruitment was heavy, more machine...

Taxing Top Wealth: Migration Responses and Their Aggregate Economic Implications

By Katrine Jakobsen, Henrik Kleven, Jonas Kolsrud, Camille Landais, and Mathilde Munoz

American Economic Review, October 2026

Using administrative data from Scandinavian countries, we provide evidence on international migration responses to wealth taxes and evaluate their aggregate economic implications. We find significant migration responses among the wealthy: A 1 percentage p...