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Lapse-Based Insurance

By Daniel Gottlieb and Kent Smetters

American Economic Review, August 2021

Most individual life insurance policies lapse, with lapsers cross-subsidizing non-lapsers. We show that policies and lapse patterns predicted by standard rational expectations models are the opposite of those observed empirically. We propose two behaviora...

The Impacts of a Multifaceted Prenatal Intervention on Human Capital Accumulation in Early Life

By Pedro Carneiro, Lucy Kraftman, Giacomo Mason, Lucie Moore, Imran Rasul, and Molly Scott

American Economic Review, August 2021

We evaluate an intervention targeting early life nutrition and well-being for households in extreme poverty in Northern Nigeria. The intervention leads to large and sustained improvements in children's anthropometric and health outcomes, including an 8 pe...

Washington Consensus in Latin America: From Raw Model to Straw Man

[Symposium: Washington Consensus Revisited]

By Ilan Goldfajn, Lorenza Martínez, and Rodrigo O. Valdés

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2021

We take stock of three decades of a love-hate relationship between Latin American policies and the Washington Consensus, reviewing its implementation, national debate, and outcomes. Using regional data and case studies of Brazil, Chile, and Mexico, we dis...

Washington Consensus Reforms and Lessons for Economic Performance in Sub-Saharan Africa

[Symposium: Washington Consensus Revisited]

By Belinda Archibong, Brahima Coulibaly, and Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2021

Over three decades after market-oriented structural reforms termed "Washington Consensus" policies were first implemented, we revisit the evidence on policy adoption and the effects of these policies on socio-economic performance in sub-Saharan African ...

Of Forking Paths and Tied Hands: Selective Publication of Findings, and What Economists Should Do about It

[Symposium: Statistical Significance]

By Maximilian Kasy

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2021

A key challenge for interpreting published empirical research is the fact that published findings might be selected by researchers or by journals. Selection might be based on criteria such as significance, consistency with theory, or the surprisingness ...

The Great Unequalizer: Initial Health Effects of COVID-19 in the United States

[Symposium: COVID-19]

By Marcella Alsan, Amitabh Chandra, and Kosali Simon

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2021

We measure inequities from the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality and hospitalizations in the United States during the early months of the outbreak. We discuss challenges in measuring health outcomes and health inequality, some of which are specific to COVID-...