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Understanding the Average Impact of Microcredit Expansions: A Bayesian Hierarchical Analysis of Seven Randomized Experiments

By Rachael Meager

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, January 2019

Despite evidence from multiple randomized evaluations of microcredit, questions about external validity have impeded consensus on the results. I jointly estimate the average effect and the heterogeneity in effects across seven studies using Bayesian hiera...

Liquidity Constraint Tightness and Consumer Responses to Fiscal Stimulus Policy

By Claus Thustrup Kreiner, David Dreyer Lassen, and Søren Leth-Petersen

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, February 2019

The marginal interest rate is the price at which a household can access additional liquidity. Consumption theory posits that variation in marginal interest rates across consumers predicts differences in the propensity to spend a stimulus payment. This hyp...

Prone to Fail: The Pre-crisis Financial System

[Symposium: Financial Stability Regulation]

By Darrell Duffie

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 2019

The financial crisis that began in 2007 was triggered by over-leveraged homeowners and a severe downturn in US housing markets. However, a reasonably well-supervised financial system would have been much more resilient to this and other types of severe ...