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International Trade with Indirect Additivity

By Paolo Bertoletti, Federico Etro, and Ina Simonovska

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, May 2018

We develop a general equilibrium model of trade that features "indirectly additive" preferences and heterogeneous firms. Monopolistic competition generates markups that are increasing in firm productivity and in destination country per capita income, but ...

A Theory of Indicative Bidding

By Daniel Quint and Kenneth Hendricks

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, May 2018

When selling a business by auction, sellers typically use indicative bids—nonbinding preliminary bids—to select a small number of bidders to conduct due diligence and submit binding offers. We show that if entry into the auction is costly, ind...

Dynamic Noisy Signaling

By Sander Heinsalu

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, May 2018

This article studies costly signaling. The signaling effort is chosen in multiple periods and observed with noise. The signaler benefits from the belief of the market, not directly from the effort or the signal. Optimal signaling behavior in time-varying ...

The US Gains from Trade: Valuation Using the Demand for Foreign Factor Services

[Symposium: Does the US Really Gain From Trade?]

By Arnaud Costinot and Andrés Rodríguez-Clare

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2018

About eight cents out of every dollar spent in the United States is spent on imports. What if, because of a wall or some other extreme policy intervention, imports were to remain on the other side of the US border? How much would US consumers be willing t...

Alternative Sources of the Gains from International Trade: Variety, Creative Destruction, and Markups

[Symposium: Does the US Really Gain From Trade?]

By Robert C. Feenstra

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2018

The modern theory of international trade identifies several additional sources of the gains from international trade beyond the gains from traditional comparative advantage. These are the gains from importing new product varieties; the gains from "creativ...

New Perspectives on the Decline of US Manufacturing Employment

[Symposium: Does the US Really Gain From Trade?]

By Teresa C. Fort, Justin R. Pierce, and Peter K. Schott

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2018

We use relatively unexplored dimensions of US microdata to examine how US manufacturing employment has evolved across industries, firms, establishments, and regions. These data provide support for both trade- and technology-based explanations of the overa...

What Do Trade Agreements Really Do?

[Symposium: Does the US Really Gain From Trade?]

By Dani Rodrik

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2018

Economists have a tendency to associate "free trade agreements" all too closely with "free trade." They may be unaware of some of the new (and often problematic) beyond-the-border features of current trade agreements. As trade agreements have evolved ...

Modeling Risk Aversion in Economics

[Symposium: Risk in Economics and Psychology]

By Ted O'Donoghue and Jason Somerville

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2018

To capture the risk-aversion intuition, the standard approach in economics has been to utilize the model of expected utility, in which risk aversion derives from diminishing marginal utility for wealth (or diminishing marginal utility for aggregate co...

On the Relationship between Cognitive Ability and Risk Preference

[Symposium: Risk in Economics and Psychology]

By Thomas Dohmen, Armin Falk, David Huffman, and Uwe Sunde

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2018

This paper will focus on the relationship between cognitive ability and decision-making under risk and uncertainty. Taken as a whole, this research indicates that cognitive ability is associated with risk-taking behavior in various contexts and life dom...

Are Risk Preferences Stable?

[Symposium: Risk in Economics and Psychology]

By Hannah Schildberg-Hörisch

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2018

It is ultimately an empirical question whether risk preferences are stable over time. The evidence comes from diverse strands of literature, covering the stability of risk preferences in panel data over shorter periods of time, life-cycle dynamics in ri...