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The Central Role of Noise in Evaluating Interventions That Use Test Scores to Rank Schools

By Kenneth Y. Chay, Patrick J. McEwan, and Miguel Urquiola

American Economic Review, September 2005

Many programs reward or penalize schools based on students' average performance. Mean reversion is a potentially serious hindrance to the evaluation of such interventions. Chile's 900 Schools Program (P-900) allocated resources based on cutoffs in schools...

Fact-Free Learning

By Enriqueta Aragones, Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite, and David Schmeidler

American Economic Review, December 2005

People may be surprised to notice certain regularities that hold in existing knowledge they have had for some time. That is, they may learn without getting new factual information. We argue that this can be partly explained by computational complexity. We...

Contracting on Time

By Sergei Guriev and Dmitriy Kvasov

American Economic Review, December 2005

The paper shows how time considerations, especially those concerning contract duration, affect incomplete contract theory. Time is not only a dimension along which the relationship unfolds, but also a continuous verifiable variable that can be included in...

A Spatial Theory of Trade

By Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

American Economic Review, December 2005

The equilibrium relationship between trade and the spatial distribution of economic activity is fundamental to the analysis of national and regional trade patterns, as well as to the effect of trade frictions. We study this relationship using a trade mode...