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Old Age Risks, Consumption, and Insurance

By Richard Blundell, Margherita Borella, Jeanne Commault, and Mariacristina De Nardi

American Economic Review, February 2024

In the United States, after age 65, households face income and health risks, and a large fraction of these risks are transitory. While consumption significantly responds to transitory income shocks, out-of-pocket medical expenses do not. In contrast, both...

Predicting Cooperation with Learning Models

By Drew Fudenberg and Gustav Karreskog Rehbinder

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, February 2024

We use simulations of a simple learning model to predict cooperation rates in the experimental play of the indefinitely repeated prisoner's dilemma. We suppose that learning and the game parameters only influence play in the initial round of each supergam...

A Random Reference Model

By Özgür Kibris, Yusufcan Masatlioglu, and Elchin Suleymanov

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, February 2024

We provide two nested models of random reference-dependent choice in which the reference point is endogenously determined by random processes. Random choice behavior is due to random reference points, even though, from the decision-maker's viewpoint, choi...

Weighted Utility and Optimism/Pessimism: A Decision-Theoretic Foundation of Various Stochastic Dominance Orders

By Tao Wang and Ehud Lehrer

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, February 2024

We show that a probability distribution likelihood ratio dominates another distribution if and only if, for every weighted utility function, the former is preferred over the latter. Likewise, a probability distribution hazard rate (or reverse hazard rate)...

Coordination in the Fight against Collusion

By Elisabetta Iossa, Simon Loertscher, Leslie M. Marx, and Patrick Rey

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, February 2024

While antitrust authorities strive to detect, prosecute, and thereby deter collusive conduct, entities harmed by that conduct are also advised to pursue their own strategies to deter collusion. The implications of such delegation of deterrence have largel...

Intertemporal Altruism

By Felix Chopra, Armin Falk, and Thomas Graeber

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, February 2024

Most prosocial decisions involve intertemporal trade-offs. Yet, the timing of prosocial utility flows is ambiguous and bypassed by most models of other-regarding preferences. We study the behavioral implications of the time structure of prosocial utility,...

Local Retail Prices, Product Variety, and Neighborhood Change

By Fernando Borraz, Felipe Carozzi, Nicolás González- Pampillón, and Leandro Zipitría

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, February 2024

We study how local grocery markets within a city are affected by changes in housing markets. Our empirical strategy exploits a shift in the spatial distribution of construction activity induced by a large-scale, place-based tax exemption in the city of Mo...