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Supply Network Formation and Fragility

By Matthew Elliott, Benjamin Golub, and Matthew V. Leduc

American Economic Review, August 2022

We model the production of complex goods in a large supply network. Each firm sources several essential inputs through relationships with other firms. Individual supply relationships are at risk of idiosyncratic failure, which threatens to disrupt product...

The Human Side of Structural Transformation

By Tommaso Porzio, Federico Rossi, and Gabriella Santangelo

American Economic Review, August 2022

We document that nearly half of the global decline in agricultural employment was driven by new cohorts entering the labor market. A new dataset of policy reforms supports an interpretation of these cohort effects as human capital. Using a model of fricti...

Checking and Sharing Alt-Facts

By Emeric Henry Ekaterina Zhuravskaya Sergei Guriev

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, August 2022

During the 2019 European elections campaign, we exposed a random sample of French voting-age Facebook users to false statements by a far-right populist party. A randomly selected subgroup was also presented with fact-checking of these statements; another ...

Does Virtual Advising Increase College Enrollment? Evidence from a Random-Assignment College Access Field Experiment

By Meredith Phillips and Sarah Reber

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, August 2022

Although in-person college access programs can be effective, less is known about whether low-cost and scalable virtual interventions can achieve the same benefits. We evaluate two variants of a virtual college counseling program. Students randomly assigne...

Childhood Housing and Adult Outcomes: A Between-Siblings Analysis of Housing Vouchers and Public Housing

By Henry O. Pollakowski Daniel H. Weinberg Fredrik Andersson John C. Haltiwanger Giordano Palloni Mark J. Kutzbach

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, August 2022

We create a national-level longitudinal dataset to analyze how children's participation in public and voucher-assisted housing affects age-26 earnings and adult incarceration. Naïve OLS estimates suggest that returns to subsidized housing participation a...

Out of the Woodwork: Enrollment Spillovers in the Oregon Health Insurance Experiment

By Adam Sacarny, Katherine Baicker, and Amy Finkelstein

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, August 2022

We study the impact of expanded adult Medicaid eligibility on the enrollment of already-eligible children. We analyze the 2008 Oregon Medicaid lottery, in which some low-income uninsured adults were randomly selected to be allowed to apply for Medicaid. C...

Lift and Shift: The Effect of Fundraising Interventions in Charity Space and Time

By Kimberley Scharf, Sarah Smith, and Mark Ottoni-Wilhelm

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, August 2022

Fundraising interventions may lift donations and/or shift their composition and timing. Using data rich in both the charity space and time dimensions, we find that major fundraising appeals lift donations to the appeal charity and that this increase is no...

The Long-Run Effects of R&D Place-Based Policies: Evidence from Russian Science Cities

By Helena Schweiger, Alexander Stepanov, and Paolo Zacchia

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, August 2022

We study the long-run effects of historical place-based R&D policies: the creation of Science Cities in Soviet Russia. We compare current demographic and economic characteristics of Science Cities with those of localities that were similar to them at the ...

Gini and Optimal Income Taxation by Rank

By Laurent Simula and Alain Trannoy

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, August 2022

We solve the nonlinear income tax program for rank-dependent social welfare functions, expressing the trade-off between size and inequality using the Gini and related families of positional indices. Absent bunching, ranks in the actual and optimal allocat...