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Real and Money Wage Rates

By John T. Dunlop

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 1998

In the General Theory, John Maynard Keynes held money and real wage rates move in opposite directions. In expansion, prices increase faster because of increasing costs and a rise in the proportion of product going to profits. Neoclassical economists held ...

Poverty Alleviation and Child Labor

By Eric V. Edmonds and Norbert Schady

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, November 2012

Poor women with children in Ecuador were selected at random for a cash transfer that is less than 20 percent of median child labor earnings. Poor families with children in school at the time of the award use the transfer to postpone the child's entry into...

Gross Worker Flows over the Business Cycle

By Per Krusell, Toshihiko Mukoyama, Richard Rogerson, and Ayşegül Şahin

American Economic Review, November 2017

We build a hybrid model of the aggregate labor market that features both standard labor supply forces and frictions in order to study the cyclical properties of gross worker flows across the three labor market states: employment, unemployment, and nonpa...

The Top 1 Percent in International and Historical Perspective

[Symposium: The Top 1 Percent]

By Facundo Alvaredo, Anthony B. Atkinson, Thomas Piketty, and Emmanuel Saez

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2013

The top 1 percent income share has more than doubled in the United States over the last 30 years, drawing much public attention in recent years. While other English-speaking countries have also experienced sharp increases in the top 1 percent income sha...

Transfer Payments and the Macroeconomy: The Effects of Social Security Benefit Increases, 1952-1991

By Christina D. Romer and David H. Romer

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, October 2016

This paper uses Social Security benefit increases from 1952 to 1991 to investigate the macroeconomic effects of changes in transfers. It finds a large, immediate, and significant positive response of consumption to permanent benefit increases. The respons...

Keynesianism, Pennsylvania Avenue Style: Some Economic Consequences of the Employment Act of 1946

[Symposium: Fifty Years of the Council of Economic Advisers]

By J. Bradford De Long

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 1996

The Employment Act of 1946 created the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA)--and served as a convenient marker of the government's acceptance of the burden of stabilizing the macroeconomy. The willingness of post-WWII governments to let automatic stabilizer...

Employment and Unemployment in the 1930s

[Symposium: The Great Depression]

By Robert A. Margo

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 1993

Recent research on labor markets in the 1930s has shifted attention from aggregate to disaggregate time series and towards microeconomic evidence. The paper begins by reviewing the conventional statistics of the United States labor market during the Great...

The NAIRU, Unemployment and Monetary Policy

[Symposium: The Natural Rate of Unemployment]

By Douglas Staiger, James H. Stock, and Mark W. Watson

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 1997

This paper examines the precision of conventional estimates of the NAIRU and the role of the NAIRU and unemployment in forecasting inflation. The authors find that, although there is a clear empirical Phillips relation, the NAIRU is imprecisely estimated,...

Extended Unemployment Benefits and Early Retirement: Program Complementarity and Program Substitution

By Lukas Inderbitzin, Stefan Staubli, and Josef Zweimüller

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, February 2016

We explore how extended unemployment insurance (UI) benefits for older workers affect early retirement and welfare. We argue that extending UI benefits generates program complementarity (more labor market exits and disability benefit take-up in the future...

Labor Supply Responses to Large Social Transfers: Longitudinal Evidence from South Africa

By Cally Ardington, Anne Case, and Victoria Hosegood

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, January 2009

We quantify the labor supply responses of prime-aged adults to the presence of pensioners in their households, using longitudinal data collected in South Africa. We compare households and individuals before and after pension receipt and pension loss, w...