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Gaming Opportunities: American Indian Casinos, Cash Transfers, and Income Mobility on the Reservation

By Emilia Simeonova, Randall Akee, and Maggie R. Jones

AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2021

We examine the impact of the Indian Gaming Regulatory Act on the income rank of American Indian (AI) reservation residents. We assemble a panel dataset at the individual level for tax filers residing on AI reservations in 1989. We examine the effect of ca...

Appropriate Institutions? Traditional Governance and Public Goods Provision in Oaxaca, Mexico

By Gustavo J. Bobonis, Juan C. Chaparro, Marco Gonzalez-Navarro, and Marta Rubio-Codina

AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2021

What are the consequences of the adoption of traditional governance institutions among indigenous groups for local government affairs? We study the 1995 Usos y Costumbres traditional governance reform in the state of Oaxaca, which legitimized these struct...

Business Formation: A Tale of Two Recessions

By Emin Dinlersoz, Timothy Dunne, John Haltiwanger, and Veronika Penciakova

AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2021

The trajectory of new business applications and transitions to employer businesses differs markedly during the Great Recession and the COVID-19 recession. Both applications and transitions to employer start-ups decreased slowly but persistently in the pos...

Across the Universe: Policy Support for Employment and Revenue in the Pandemic Recession

By Ryan A. Decker, Robert J. Kurtzman, Byron F. Lutz, and Christopher J. Nekarda

AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2021

Using data from 14 government sources, we develop comprehensive estimates of US economic activity by sector, legal form of organization, and firm size to characterize how four government direct-lending programs—the Paycheck Protection Program, Main Stre...

Sectoral Effects of Social Distancing

By Jean-Noël Barrot, Basile Grassi, and Julien Sauvagnat

AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2021

The outbreak of the COVID-19 virus has led many states to take the drastic measures of social distancing. Using US executive order, occupation, and survey data, we measure the fall in labor supply due to these measures. Starting from a model of production...

COVID-19 and Small- and Medium-Sized Enterprises: A 2021 "Time Bomb"?

By Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan, Veronika Penciakova, and Nick Sander

AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2021

This paper assesses the prospects of a 2021 "time bomb" in small- and medium-sized enterprise (SME) failures triggered by the generous support policies enacted during the 2020 COVID-19 crisis. Policies implemented in 2020 do not on their own create a 2021...

COVID-19 Is a Persistent Reallocation Shock

By Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, and Brent H. Meyer

AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2021

Drawing on data from the firm-level Survey of Business Uncertainty, we present three pieces of evidence that COVID-19 is a persistent reallocation shock. First, rates of excess job and sales reallocation over 24-month periods (looking back 12 months and a...

Longevity Perceptions and Saving Decisions during the COVID-19 Outbreak: An Experimental Investigation

By Abigail Hurwitz, Olivia S. Mitchell, and Orly Sade

AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2021

We experimentally study individuals' perceptions about and advice to others regarding retirement savings and annuitization during the pandemic. Many people recommend that others save more for retirement, but those most affected by the pandemic tell others...