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Testing Intertemporal Substitution, Implicit Contracts, and Hours Restriction Models of the Labor Market Using Micro Data

By John C. Ham and Kevin T. Reilly

American Economic Review, September 2002

We present new tests of three theories of the labor market: intertemporal substitution, hours restrictions, and implicit contracts. The intertemporal substitution test we implement is an exclusion test robust to many specification errors and we consistent...

Time to Ditch the NAIRU

[Symposium: The Natural Rate of Unemployment]

By James K. Galbraith

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 1997

The concept of a natural rate of unemployment, or nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU), remains controversial after twenty-five years. This essay presents a brief for no-confidence, in four parts. First, the theoretical case for the natu...

Unemployment Insurance: Strengthening the Relationship between Theory and Policy

[Symposium: American Employment]

By Walter Nicholson and Karen Needels

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2006

Ever since the U.S. federal-state system of unemployment insurance was founded in the 1930s, it has provided partial, temporary replacement of wages to eligible workers who lose jobs -- through no fault of their own -- (as determined by state-level regula...

Interest Rate Pass-Through: Mortgage Rates, Household Consumption, and Voluntary Deleveraging

By Marco Di Maggio, Amir Kermani, Benjamin J. Keys, Tomasz Piskorski, Rodney Ramcharan, Amit Seru, and Vincent Yao

American Economic Review, November 2017

Exploiting variation in the timing of resets of adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), we find that a sizable decline in mortgage payments (up to 50 percent) induces a significant increase in car purchases (up to 35 percent). This effect is attenuated by vol...

What We Know and Do Not Know about the Natural Rate of Unemployment

[Symposium: The Natural Rate of Unemployment]

By Olivier Blanchard and Lawrence F. Katz

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 1997

Over the past three decades, much research has attempted to identify the determinants of the natural rate of unemployment. The authors reach two main conclusions about this body of work. First, there has been considerable theoretical progress over the pas...