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Surprised by the Parimutuel Odds?

By Marco Ottaviani and Peter Norman Sørensen

American Economic Review, December 2009

Empirical analyses of parimutuel betting markets have documented that market probabilities of favorites (longshots) tend to underestimate (overestimate) the corresponding empirical probabilities. We argue that this favorite-longshot bias is consistent wit...

The Importance of Being Wanted

By Quy-Toan Do and Tung D. Phung

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, October 2010

We identify birth wantedness as a source of better child outcomes. In Vietnam, the year of birth is widely believed to determine success. As a result, cohorts born in auspicious years are 12 percent larger. Comparing siblings with one another, those of au...