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The Political Economy of Debt Bondage

By Ulf von Lilienfeld-Toal and Dilip Mookherjee

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, August 2010

What are the effects of restricting bonded labor clauses in tenancy or debt contracts? While such restrictions reduce agents' ability to credibly commit ex ante to repay principals in states where they default on their financial obligations, they also gen...

AIG in Hindsight

[Symposium: The Bailouts of 2007-2009]

By Robert McDonald and Anna Paulson

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2015

The near-failure on September 16, 2008, of American International Group (AIG) was an iconic moment in the financial crisis. Two large bets on real estate made with funding vulnerable to bank-run-like dynamics pushed AIG to the brink of bankruptcy. AIG use...

Economic Catastrophe Bonds

By Joshua D. Coval, Jakub W. Jurek, and Erik Stafford

American Economic Review, June 2009

The central insight of asset pricing is that a security's value depends both on its distribution of payoffs across economic states and on state prices. In fixed income markets, many investors focus exclusively on estimates of expected payoffs, such as ...

Is Lottery Gambling Addictive?

By Jonathan Guryan and Melissa S. Kearney

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, August 2010

We present an empirical test for the addictiveness of lottery gambling that exploits an exogenous shock to local market consumption of lottery gambling. It uses the sale of a winning jackpot ticket in a zip code as an instrument for present consumption an...

Assessing the Rate of Replication in Economics

By James Berry, Lucas C. Coffman, Douglas Hanley, Rania Gihleb, and Alistair J. Wilson

American Economic Review, May 2017

We assess the rate of replication for empirical papers in the 2010 American Economic Review. Across 70 empirical papers, we find that 29 percent have 1 or more citation that partially replicates the original result. While only a minority of papers has a p...