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"Automation" of Manufacturing in the Late Nineteenth Century: The Hand and Machine Labor Study

[Symposium: Automation and Employment]

By Jeremy Atack, Robert A. Margo, and Paul W. Rhode

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2019

Recent advances in artificial intelligence and robotics have generated a robust debate about the future of work. An analogous debate occurred in the late nineteenth century when mechanization first transformed manufacturing. We analyze an extraordinary da...

Artificial Intelligence: The Ambiguous Labor Market Impact of Automating Prediction

[Symposium: Automation and Employment]

By Ajay Agrawal, Joshua S. Gans, and Avi Goldfarb

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2019

Recent advances in artificial intelligence are primarily driven by machine learning, a prediction technology. Prediction is useful because it is an input into decision-making. In order to appreciate the impact of artificial intelligence on jobs, it is imp...

The Changing (Dis-)utility of Work

[Symposium: Incentives in the Workplace]

By Greg Kaplan and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2018

We study how changes in the distribution of occupations have affected the aggregate non-pecuniary costs and benefits of working. The physical toll of work is less now than in 1950, with workers shifting away from occupations in which people report experie...