How Do Mortgage Refinances Affect Debt, Default, and Spending? Evidence from HARP
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(Complimentary)
Abstract
We use quasi-random access to the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) to identify the causal effect of refinancing into a lower-rate mortgage on borrower balance sheet outcomes. Refinancing substantially reduces borrower default rates on mortgages and other debt. Refinancing also causes borrowers to expand their use of debt instruments, such as auto loans, home equity lines, and other consumer debts that are proxies for spending. Borrowers that appear more constrained ex ante grow these debts more strongly after refinancing but also pay down credit card balances by more. These borrowers also have lower take-up of the refinancing opportunity.Citation
Abel, Joshua, and Andreas Fuster. 2021. "How Do Mortgage Refinances Affect Debt, Default, and Spending? Evidence from HARP." American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 13 (2): 254-91. DOI: 10.1257/mac.20180116Additional Materials
JEL Classification
- E52 Monetary Policy
- G21 Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
- G51 Household Finance: Household Saving, Borrowing, Debt, and Wealth
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