Prior literature has established that displaced workers suffer persistent earnings losses by following workers in administrative data after mass layoffs. This literature assumes that these are involuntary separations owing to economic distress. This paper examines this assumption by matching survey data on worker-supplied reasons for
separations with administrative data. Workers exhibit substantially different earnings dynamics in mass layoffs depending on the reason for separation. Using a new methodology to account for the increased separation rates across all survey responses during a mass layoff, the paper finds earnings loss estimates that are surprisingly close to those using only administrative data.
Flaaen, Aaron, Matthew D. Shapiro, and Isaac Sorkin.
"Reconsidering the Consequences of Worker Displacements: Firm versus Worker Perspective."
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics,
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
Labor Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Unemployment Insurance; Severance Pay; Plant Closings