How Did China Take Off?
- (pp. 147-70)
AbstractThere are two prevailing perspectives on how China took off. One emphasizes the role of globalizationâ€”foreign trade and investments and special economic zones; the other emphasizes the role of internal reforms, especially rural reforms. Detailed documentary and quantitative evidence provides strong support for the second hypothesis. To understand how China's economy took off requires an accurate and detailed understanding of its rural development, especially rural industry spearheaded by the rise of township and village enterprises. Many China scholars believe that township and village enterprises have a distinct ownership structureâ€”that they are owned and operated by local governments rather than by private entrepreneurs. I will show that township and village enterprises from the inception have been private and that China undertook significant and meaningful financial liberalization at the very start of reforms. Rural private entrepreneurship and financial reforms correlate strongly with some of China's best-known achievementsâ€”poverty reduction, fast GDP growth driven by personal consumption (rather than by corporate investments and government spending), and an initial decline of income inequality. The conventional view of China scholars is right about one pointâ€”that today's Chinese financial sector is completely state-controlled. This is because China reversed almost all of its financial liberalization sometime around the early to mid 1990s. This financial reversal, despite its monumental effect on the welfare of hundreds of millions of rural Chinese, is almost completely unknown in the West.
Citation2012. "How Did China Take Off?." Journal of Economic Perspectives, 26(4): 147-70. DOI: 10.1257/jep.26.4.147
- E23 Macroeconomics: Production
- F13 Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
- F43 Economic Growth of Open Economies
- O11 Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
- O18 Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
- P24 Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: National Income, Product, and Expenditure; Money; Inflation
- P25 Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics