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Women in Economics: Stalled Progress

[Symposium: Women in Economics]

By Shelly Lundberg and Jenna Stearns

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 2019

Women are still a minority in the economics profession. By the mid-2000s, just under 35 percent of PhD students and 30 percent of assistant professors were female, and these numbers have remained roughly constant ever since. Over the past two decades, w...

Prone to Fail: The Pre-crisis Financial System

[Symposium: Financial Stability Regulation]

By Darrell Duffie

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 2019

The financial crisis that began in 2007 was triggered by over-leveraged homeowners and a severe downturn in US housing markets. However, a reasonably well-supervised financial system would have been much more resilient to this and other types of severe ...

Would Macroprudential Regulation Have Prevented the Last Crisis?

[Symposium: Financial Stability Regulation]

By David Aikman, Jonathan Bridges, Anil Kashyap, and Caspar Siegert

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 2019

How well equipped are today's macroprudential regimes to deal with a rerun of the factors that led to the global financial crisis? To address the factors that made the last crisis so severe, a macroprudential regulator would need to implement policies t...

Evolving Measurement for an Evolving Economy: Thoughts on 21st Century US Economic Statistics

[Symposium: Public Provision of Economic Data]

By Ron S. Jarmin

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 2019

The system of federal economic statistics developed in the 20th century has served the country well, but the current methods for collecting and disseminating these data products are unsustainable. These statistics are heavily reliant on sample surveys. ...

Beliefs about Gender

By Pedro Bordalo, Katherine Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli, and Andrei Shleifer

American Economic Review, March 2019

We conduct laboratory experiments that explore how gender stereotypes shape beliefs about ability of oneself and others in different categories of knowledge. The data reveal two patterns. First, men's and women's beliefs about both oneself and others exce...

The Quanto Theory of Exchange Rates

By Lukas Kremens and Ian Martin

American Economic Review, March 2019

We present a new identity that relates expected exchange rate appreciation to a risk-neutral covariance term, and use it to motivate a currency forecasting variable based on the prices of quanto index contracts. We show via panel regressions that the quan...

Auctions with Limited Commitment

By Qingmin Liu, Konrad Mierendorff, Xianwen Shi, and Weijie Zhong

American Economic Review, March 2019

We study the role of limited commitment in a standard auction environment. In each period, the seller can commit to an auction with a reserve price but not to future reserve prices. We characterize the set of equilibrium profits attainable for the seller ...