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The Tyranny of Budget Forecasts

By J. D. Foster and James C. Miller

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2000

The evolving federal budget process has placed increasing demands on, and given unique powers to, the economic forecasters at OMB, Treasury, CBO, and the Joint Tax Committee of Congress. On the whole, the forecasters have been highly professional in their...

The Resurgence of Growth in the Late 1990s: Is Information Technology the Story?

[Symposium: Computers and Productivity]

By Stephen D. Oliner and Daniel E. Sichel

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2000

The growth of U.S. labor productivity rebounded in the second half of the 1990s, after nearly a quarter century of sluggish gains. We assess the contribution of information technology to this rebound, using the same neoclassical framework as in our earlie...

Beyond Computation: Information Technology, Organizational Transformation and Business Performance

[Symposium: Computers and Productivity]

By Erik Brynjolfsson and Lorin M. Hitt

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2000

To understand the economic value of computers, one must broaden the traditional definition of both the technology and its effects. Case studies and firm-level econometric evidence suggest that: 1) organizational "investments" have a large influence on the...

Gender Differences in Pay

[Symposium: Women and the Labor Market]

By Francine D. Blau and Lawrence M. Kahn

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2000

We consider the gender pay gap in the United States. Both gender-specific factors, including gender differences in qualifications and discrimination, and overall wage structure, the rewards for skills and employment in particular sectors, importantly infl...

For Love or Money--Or Both?

[Symposium: Women and the Labor Market]

By Nancy Folbre and Julie A. Nelson

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2000

This paper explores the implications for economic analysis, societal well-being, and public policy of the movement of care services (such as child and elder care) from home to market. A broad empirical overview sets the stage for the argument that this pr...

Women's Work and Economic Development

[Symposium: Women and the Labor Market]

By Kristin Mammen and Christina Paxson

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2000

Using a cross-country dataset and microdata from India and Thailand, we examine how women's work status changes with economic development. Several clear patterns emerge: women's labor force participation first declines and then rises with development; wom...

Occupational Licensing

By Morris M. Kleiner

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2000

The study of the regulation of occupations has a long and distinguished tradition in economics. In this paper, I present the central arguments and unresolved issues involving the costs and benefits of occupational licensing. The main benefits that are sug...