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But Economics Is Not an Experimental Science

[Symposium: Con out of Economics]

By Christopher A. Sims

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2010

The fact is, economics is not an experimental science and cannot be. "Natural" experiments and "quasi" experiments are not in fact experiments. They are rhetorical devices that are often invoked to avoid having to confront real econometric difficulties. N...

Taking the Dogma out of Econometrics: Structural Modeling and Credible Inference

[Symposium: Con out of Economics]

By Aviv Nevo and Michael D. Whinston

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2010

Without a doubt, there has been a "credibility revolution" in applied econometrics. One contributing development has been in the improvement and increased use in data analysis of "structural methods"; that is, the use of models based in economic theory. ...

The Gender Gap in Secondary School Mathematics at High Achievement Levels: Evidence from the American Mathematics Competitions

[Symposium: Tests and Gender]

By Glenn Ellison and Ashley Swanson

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2010

This paper uses a new data source, American Mathematics Competitions, to examine the gender gap among high school students at very high achievement levels. The data bring out several new facts. There is a large gender gap that widens dramatically at perce...

Markets: The Credit Rating Agencies

By Lawrence J. White

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2010

This paper will explore how the financial regulatory structure propelled three credit rating agencies -- Moody's, Standard & Poor's (S&P), and Fitch -- to the center of the U.S. bond markets -- and thereby virtually guaranteed that when these rating agenc...

Resource Allocation and Organizational Form

By Guido Friebel and Michael Raith

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, May 2010

We develop a theory of firm scope and structure in which merging two firms allows the integrated firm's top management to allocate resources that are costly to trade. However, information about their use resides with division managers. We show that establ...

Open Access and Dynamic Efficiency

By Tilman Klumpp and Xuejuan Su

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, May 2010

In our model, production of a final good requires access to an excludable resource owned by an integrated firm. The quality of the resource depends on an investment by the owner and impacts the downstream demand curve. Under open access, the owner must s...