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Did the Paycheck Protection Program Help Small Businesses? Evidence from Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities

By Sumit Agarwal, Brent W. Ambrose, Luis A. Lopez, and Xue Xiao

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, August 2024

In this study, we examine the broader economic effects of the US federal government's Paycheck Protection Program by focusing on the performance of securitized commercial mortgages. We provide novel evidence for spillover effects of government interventio...

Shaping the Habits of Teen Drivers

By Timothy J. Moore and Todd Morris

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, August 2024

We show that a targeted law can modify teens' risky behavior. We examine the effects of an Australian intervention banning first-year drivers from driving late at night with multiple peers, which had accounted for one-fifth of their traffic fatalities. Us...

Rural Roads, Farm Labor Exits, and Crop Fires

By Teevrat Garg, Maulik Jagnani, and Hemant K. Pullabhotla

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, August 2024

Even as policymakers seek to encourage economic development by addressing misallocation due to frictions in labor markets, the associated production externalities—such as air pollution—remain unexplored. Using a regression discontinuity design, we sho...