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Brexit Uncertainty and Its (Dis)service Effects

By Saad Ahmad, Nuno Limão, Sarah Oliver, and Serge Shikher

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, November 2023

We estimate the impact of increased policy uncertainty from Brexit on UK trade in services. We apply an uncertainty-augmented gravity equation to UK services trade with the European Union at the industry level from 2016:I to 2018:IV. By exploiting the var...

Do Tax Incentives Increase Firm Innovation? An RD Design for R&D, Patents, and Spillovers

By Antoine Dechezleprêtre, Elias Einiö, Ralf Martin, Kieu-Trang Nguyen, and John Van Reenen

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, November 2023

We present causal evidence of R&D tax incentives' positive impacts on a firm's own innovation and that of its technological neighbors. Exploiting a change in size-based eligibility thresholds for R&D tax relief, we implement a Regression Discontinuity Des...

The Evolution of Work from Home

[Symposium: After the Pandemic]

By José María Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, and Steven J. Davis

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2023

Full days worked at home account for 28 percent of paid workdays among Americans 20–64 years old, as of mid-2023. That's about four times the 2019 rate and ten times the rate in the mid-1990s. We first explain why the big shift to work from home has end...

COVID-19, School Closures, and Outcomes

[Symposium: After the Pandemic]

By Rebecca Jack and Emily Oster

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2023

This article discusses the question of data and our perspective on the importance of public, accessible, and contemporaneous data in the face of public crisis. Then, we present data on the extent of school closures during the COVID-19 pandemic, both globa...

Changes in the Distribution of Black and White Wealth since the US Civil War

[Symposium: Wealth]

By Ellora Derenoncourt, Chi Hyun Kim, Moritz Kuhn, and Moritz Schularick

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2023

The difference in the average wealth of Black and white Americans narrowed in the first century after the Civil War, but remained large and even widened again after 1980. Given high levels of wealth concentration both historically and today, dynamics at t...

Where Does Wealth Come From? Measuring Lifetime Resources in Norway

[Symposium: Wealth]

By Sandra E. Black, Paul J. Devereux, Fanny Landaud, and Kjell G. Salvanes

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2023

In this paper, we use comprehensive administrative data on the population of Norway to create a measure of lifetime resources, which generates several stylized facts. First, lifetime resources are highly correlated with net wealth, but net wealth is more ...

Transmission Impossible? Prospects for Decarbonizing the US Grid

[Symposium: The Electricity Grid]

By Lucas W. Davis, Catherine Hausman, and Nancy L. Rose

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2023

Encouraged by the declining cost of grid-scale renewables, recent analyses conclude that the United States could reach net zero carbon dioxide emissions by 2050 at relatively low cost using currently available technologies. While the cost of renewable gen...

The Economics of Electricity Reliability

[Symposium: The Electricity Grid]

By Severin Borenstein, James Bushnell, and Erin Mansur

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2023

The physics of an electrical grid requires that the supply injected into the grid is always in balance with the quantity consumed. If that balance is not maintained, cascading outages are likely to disrupt supply to all consumers on the grid. In the past,...

Early Career Paths of Economists inside and outside of Academia

[Symposium: Economics Career Paths]

By Lucia Foster, Erika McEntarfer, and Danielle H. Sandler

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2023

Economics job candidates face considerable professional and financial uncertainties when deciding between academic and nonacademic career paths. Using novel panel data, we provide a broad picture of PhD economists' early career mobility and earnings growt...