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Minimum-Wage Increases and Low-Wage Employment: Evidence from Seattle

By Ekaterina Jardim, Mark C. Long, Robert Plotnick, Emma van Inwegen, Jacob Vigdor, and Hilary Wething

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, May 2022

Seattle raised its minimum wage to as much as $11 in 2015 and as much as $13 in 2016. We use Washington State administrative data to conduct two complementary analyses of its impact. Relative to outlying regions of the state identified by the synthetic ...

The Labor Market Impacts of Universal and Permanent Cash Transfers: Evidence from the Alaska Permanent Fund

By Damon Jones and Ioana Marinescu

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, May 2022

Since 1982, all Alaskan residents have received a yearly cash dividend from the Alaska Permanent Fund. Using the Current Population Survey and a synthetic control method, this paper shows that the dividend had no effect on employment and increased part-ti...

A Social Insurance Perspective on Pandemic Fiscal Policy: Implications for Unemployment Insurance and Hazard Pay

[Symposium: Macro Policy in the Pandemic]

By Christina D. Romer and David H. Romer

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2022

This paper considers fiscal policy during the pandemic through the lens of optimal social insurance. We develop a simple framework to analyze how government taxes and transfers could mimic the insurance that people would like to have had against pandemi...

Should We Insure Workers or Jobs during Recessions?

[Symposium: Macro Policy in the Pandemic]

By Giulia Giupponi, Camille Landais, and Alice Lapeyre

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2022

What is the most efficient way to respond to recessions in the labor market? To this question, policymakers on the two sides of the pond gave diametrically opposed answers during the COVID-19 crisis. In the United States, the focus was on insuring worke...

The $800 Billion Paycheck Protection Program: Where Did the Money Go and Why Did It Go There?

[Symposium: Macro Policy in the Pandemic]

By David Autor, David Cho, Leland D. Crane, Mita Goldar, Byron Lutz, Joshua Montes, William B. Peterman, David Ratner, Daniel Villar, and Ahu Yildirmaz

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2022

The Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) provided small businesses with roughly $800 billion dollars in uncollateralized, low-interest loans during the pandemic, almost all of which will be forgiven. With 94 percent of small businesses ultimately receiving...

The Cumulative Costs of Racism and the Bill for Black Reparations

[Symposium: Economics of Slavery]

By William Darity Jr., A. Kirsten Mullen, and Marvin Slaughter

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2022

Two major procedures for establishing the monetary value of a plan for reparations for Black American descendants of US slavery are considered in this paper: 1) Enumeration of atrocities and assignment of a dollar value to each as a prelude to adding up...

Children and the US Social Safety Net: Balancing Disincentives for Adults and Benefits for Children

[Symposium: Childhood Interventions]

By Anna Aizer, Hilary Hoynes, and Adriana Lleras-Muney

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2022

Economic research on the safety net has evolved over time, moving away from a focus on the negative incentive effects of means-tested assistance on employment, earnings, marriage, and fertility to include the potential positive benefits of such programs...