The Impact of Immigration Policies on Reentry Rates among Deportees

By Eunsik Chang, Heriberto Gonzalez-Lozano, and Sandra Orozco-Aleman

AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2026

We examine whether US interior immigration enforcement policies deter deportees from reentering the United States and whether these effects vary by individual characteristics. Using data from the Mexican Survey of Migration to the Northern Border and expl...

Resilient Finance, Stratified Costs: Unmasking Racial Disparities in Disaster-Induced Bank Closures

By Isaac Marcelin, Wei Sun, and Gaye-Del Lo

AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2026

Climate disasters and bank branch closures can reshape mortgage credit without obvious changes in headline approval rates. Using Home Mortgage Disclosure Act applications matched to county disasters (SHELDUS) and branch closures (S&P Global), we estimate ...

President's Foreword

By Katharine G. Abraham

AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2026

Editors’ Introduction

By William R. Johnson

AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2026

The Effects of Racial Segregation on Intergenerational Mobility: Evidence from Historical Railroad Placement

By Eric Chyn, Kareem Haggag, and Bryan A. Stuart

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, April 2026

This paper provides new evidence on the causal impacts of citywide racial segregation on intergenerational mobility. We use an instrumental variable approach that relies on plausibly exogenous variation in segregation due to the arrangement of railroad tr...

Some Macroeconomic Evidence on Substitution between Clean and Dirty Energy

By Gregory Casey, Yang Gao, and Peter K. Kruse-Andersen

AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2026

We investigate the aggregate elasticity of substitution between clean and dirty energy using time-series data from the United States. To match the data, a standard macro climate-economy model requires an elasticity that is close to one in the long run but...

Organizing Production across Borders in a Time of Uncertainty

By Laura Alfaro, Anusha Chari, and Haruka Takayama

AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2026

Intensifying geopolitical turmoil has revealed the fragility of international production networks. This paper demonstrates how multinational firms are redefining their organizational boundaries by examining cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&A) as a...

Early Learning across Decades: Advances in Measuring Head Start Effectiveness

By Chloe R. Gibbs

Journal of Economic Literature

The Head Start program, launched in 1965 and targeted to children from disadvantaged backgrounds, remains the largest early childhood care and education (ECE) program in the United States and the only one deployed at the federal level. As such, the Head S...

Class Disparities and Discrimination in Traffic Stops and Searches

By Benjamin Feigenberg and Conrad Miller

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics

We study class disparities in highway patrol traffic stops. Low-income motorists are more likely to be searched for contraband, less likely to be found with contraband when searched, and more likely to be stopped for infractions associated with pretext st...

Scars of War: The Legacy of WWI Deaths on Civic Capital and Combat Motivation

By Felipe Carozzi, Edward Pinchbeck, and Luca Repetto

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics

We study how the legacy of WWI deaths affected British communities and the next generation of soldiers. Our instrumental-variable estimates show that servicemen from localities that suffered heavier losses in WWI were considerably more likely to die or...

Deterring Industrial Vessels from African Coastal Fisheries

By Aishwarya Agarwal and Gabriel Englander

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy

Can African countries deter industrial fishing vessels from near-shore waters reserved for artisanal fishers? Using radar data released in 2024, this paper provides the first causal evaluation of these Inshore Exclusion Zones (IEZs). Regression disconti...

Non-Tariff Barriers in the U.S.-China Trade War

By Tuo Chen, Chang-Tai Hsieh, and Zheng (Michael) Song

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics

Unofficial non-tariff barriers were responsible for 50% of the reduction in Chinese imports from the U.S. during the 2018-2019 trade war. We infer NTBs from the change in imports of U.S. products relative to imports from other countries of the same HS6 pr...

Endogenous Tracking: Sorting and Peer Effects

By Aleksei Chernulich, Romain Gauriot, and Daehong Min

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics

Can an educational system without ability tracking and signalling motive generate self-sorting of students by ability? We build a theoretical model to show that when seeking positive peer effects is combined with costly educational choices, even in the...

Markets, Contracts, and Hierarchies: How Bargaining Frictions Affect Governance

By Tore Ellingsen and Topi Miettinen

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics

We develop an organizational governance model with a single buyer and endogenous upstream entry. Investments and control rights over assets and actions are immediately contractable; production is contractable after uncertainty resolves. We show the fol...

Behavioral Biases are Temporally Stable

By Victor Stango and Jonathan Zinman

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics

Social scientists often consider temporal stability when assessing a construct and its measures, but whether behavioral biases display such stability is relatively unknown. We estimate stability for 17 biases, using lab-style elicitations in online surv...

The effect of prison sentences on financial crime

[Research Highlight]

May 21, 2026

Evidence from Finland suggests that incarceration for fraud defendants reduces recidivism and discourages misconduct among defendants’ colleagues.

Different Paths to College Success: The Impact of Massachusetts's Charter Schools on College Trajectories

By Sarah R. Cohodes and Astrid C. Pineda

American Economic Review: Insights, June 2026

The charter school movement encompasses many school models. In Massachusetts in the 2010s, the site of our study, urban charter schools primarily used "No Excuses" practices, whereas nonurban charters had greater model variety. Using randomized admissions...

Work from Home and Disability Employment

By Nicholas Bloom, Gordon B. Dahl, and Dan-Olof Rooth

American Economic Review: Insights, June 2026

There has been a dramatic rise in disability employment since the pandemic, while work from home (WFH) has risen fourfold. This paper asks whether the two are causally related. Controlling for compositional changes and labor market tightness, a 1 percenta...

Long Wars

By Sandeep Baliga and Tomas Sjöström

American Economic Review: Insights, June 2026

We study whether the Coase conjecture holds for bargaining during war. Two players, A and B, contest a divisible resource until one side collapses or agreement is reached. If player B is militarily strong, then he insists on getting a large share. However...

Taxing the Wealth of the Poor: Evidence from the Danish Old-Age Support Asset Test

By Niels Johannesen, Johan Sæverud, and Emmanuel Saez

American Economic Review: Insights, June 2026

We document strong behavioral responses to an asset test for an old-age support program in Denmark using comprehensive administrative data. We show that the density distribution of the liquid assets targeted by the test exhibits large but diffuse excess m...