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Placebo Reforms

By Ran Spiegler

American Economic Review, June 2013

I study a dynamic model of strategic reform decisions that potentially affect the stochastic evolution of a publicly observed economic variable. Policy makers maximize their evaluation by a boundedly rational public. Specifically, the public follows a rul...

Diagnostics before Prescription

[Symposium: The Agenda for Development Economics]

By Dani Rodrik

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2010

Development economists should stop acting as categorical advocates (or detractors) for specific approaches to development. They should instead be diagnosticians, helping decisionmakers choose the right model (and remedy) for their specific realities, amon...

Sovereign Defaults: The Price of Haircuts

By Juan J. Cruces and Christoph Trebesch

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, July 2013

A main puzzle in the sovereign debt literature is that defaults have only minor effects on subsequent borrowing costs and access to credit. This paper comes to a different conclusion. We construct the first complete database of investor losses ("haircu...

Fact-Free Learning

By Enriqueta Aragones, Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite, and David Schmeidler

American Economic Review, December 2005

People may be surprised to notice certain regularities that hold in existing knowledge they have had for some time. That is, they may learn without getting new factual information. We argue that this can be partly explained by computational complexity. We...

The Flow Approach to Labor Markets: New Data Sources and Micro-Macro Links

[Symposium: American Employment]

By Steven J. Davis, R. Jason Faberman, and John Haltiwanger

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2006

New data sources and products developed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Bureau of the Census highlight the fluid character of U.S. labor markets. Private sector job creation and destruction rates average nearly 8 percent of employment per quarte...