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Mental Models and Transfer Learning

By Ignacio Esponda, Emanuel Vespa, and Sevgi Yuksel

AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2023

Using a laboratory experiment, we investigate the extent to which learning is transferred between related problems in the context of an updating task. The updating principle we study requires updating positively after a positive signal and negatively afte...

Reputation and Partial Default

By Manuel Amador and Christopher Phelan

American Economic Review: Insights, June 2023

This paper presents a continuous-time reputation model of sovereign debt allowing for both varying levels of partial default and full default. In it, a government can be a nonstrategic commitment type or a strategic opportunistic type, and a government's ...

How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

By Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Maarten van Rooij

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, July 2023

We implement a survey of Dutch households in which random subsets of respondents receive information about inflation. The resulting exogenously generated variation in inflation expectations is used to assess how expectations affect consumption decisions. ...

Self-Reported Signaling

By Thomas Jungbauer and Michael Waldman

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, August 2023

In many real-world settings, an action that affects the value of a product or service is self-reported rather than publicly observable. We investigate self-reporting when self-reports serve as a signal of sender productivity. In our model, a sender choose...

Influence Campaigns

By Evan Sadler

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, August 2023

Firms and politicians, among others, invest heavily to influence people's opinions. Because peers influence one another, these efforts must account for social networks. Using a model of opinion dynamics with a non-degenerate steady state, I develop a new ...

Disclosure in Markets for Ratings

By Ran Weksler and Boaz Zik

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, August 2023

We study the implications of the disclosure regime of ratings on the level of information released to the public. Specifically, we compare mandatory and voluntary disclosure. We analyze a model where the potential issuers are initially endowed with homoge...