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Decision Theory and Stochastic Growth

By Arthur Robson, Larry Samuelson, and Jakub Steiner

American Economic Review: Insights, September 2023

This paper examines connections between stochastic growth and decision problems. We use tools from the theory of large deviations to show that wishful thinking decision problems are equivalent to utility maximization problems, both of which are equivalent...

Measuring Upward Mobility

By Debraj Ray Garance Genicot

American Economic Review, November 2023

We conceptualize and measure upward mobility over income or wealth. At the core of our exercise is the Growth Progressivity Axiom: transfers of instantaneous growth rates from relatively rich to poor individuals increases upward mobility. This axiom, alon...

Changes in the Distribution of Black and White Wealth since the US Civil War

[Symposium: Wealth]

By Ellora Derenoncourt, Chi Hyun Kim, Moritz Kuhn, and Moritz Schularick

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2023

The difference in the average wealth of Black and white Americans narrowed in the first century after the Civil War, but remained large and even widened again after 1980. Given high levels of wealth concentration both historically and today, dynamics at t...

Where Does Wealth Come From? Measuring Lifetime Resources in Norway

[Symposium: Wealth]

By Sandra E. Black, Paul J. Devereux, Fanny Landaud, and Kjell G. Salvanes

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2023

In this paper, we use comprehensive administrative data on the population of Norway to create a measure of lifetime resources, which generates several stylized facts. First, lifetime resources are highly correlated with net wealth, but net wealth is more ...

Tax Equity in Low- and Middle-Income Countries

[Symposium: Taxation and Developing Countries]

By Pierre Bachas Anders Jensen Lucie Gadenne

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 2024

Income inequality is high and persistent in developing countries. In this paper, we ask what role taxation can or might play in reducing inequality in low and middle-income countries. Drawing on the recent literature, three findings emerge. Due to both ...

Is Pay Transparency Good?

By Zoë Cullen

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 2024

Countries around the world are enacting pay transparency policies to combat pay discrimination. Since 2000, 71 percent of OECD countries have done so. Most are enacting transparency horizontally, revealing pay between coworkers doing similar work within...

Measuring Absolute Income Mobility: Lessons from North America and Europe

By Robert Manduca, Maximilian Hell, Adrian Adermon, Jo Blanden, Espen Bratberg, Anne C. Gielen, Hans van Kippersluis, Keunbok Lee, Stephen Machin, Martin D. Munk, Martin Nybom, Yuri Ostrovsky, Sumaiya Rahman, and Outi Sirniö

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, April 2024

We use linked parent-child administrative data for five countries in North America and Europe, as well as detailed survey data for two more, to investigate methodological challenges in the estimation of absolute income mobility. We show that the commonly ...

Predistribution versus Redistribution: Evidence from France and the United States

By Antoine Bozio, Bertrand Garbinti, Jonathan Goupille-Lebret, Malka Guillot, and Thomas Piketty

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, April 2024

We construct series of posttax income for France over the 1900–2018 period and compare them with US series. We quantify the extent of redistribution—the reduction from pretax to posttax inequality—and estimate the contribution of redistribution in e...

Multigenerational Transmission of Wealth: Florence, 1403–1480

By Marianna Belloc, Francesco Drago, Mattia Fochesato, and Roberto Galbiati

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, April 2024

By using hand-collected data on households' wealth assessments, we study multigenerational mobility in Florence during the late Middle Ages. We find that Florentine society was more mobile than one would expect but also that multigenerational mobility was...

Redistributive Capital Taxation Revisited

By Özlem Kina, Ctirad Slavík, and Hakki Yazici

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, April 2024

This paper uses a rich quantitative model with endogenous skill acquisition to show that capital-skill complementarity provides a quantitatively significant rationale to tax capital for redistributive governments. The optimal capital income tax rate is 67...