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Showing 181-200 of 322 items.

Stages of Diversification

By Jean Imbs and Romain Wacziarg

American Economic Review, March 2003

This paper studies the evolution of sectoral concentration in relation to the level of per capita income. We show that various measures of sectoral concentration follow a U-shaped pattern across a wide variety of data sources: countries first diversify, i...

A Goldilocks Theory of Fiscal Deficits

By Atif Mian, Ludwig Straub, and Amir Sufi

American Economic Review, December 2025

We develop a tractable framework for deficit and debt dynamics. A "free lunch" fiscal deficit—one that raises spending without higher future taxes—is sustainable without zero lower bound (ZLB) only when R < G − φ, where φ is the sensitivity of the...

The Effects of Biased Labor Market Expectations on Consumption, Wealth Inequality, and Welfare

By Almut Balleer, Georg Duernecker, Susanne Forstner, and Johannes Goensch

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, January 2026

We analyze US survey data and document a substantial optimistic bias of households in their expectations about future labor market transitions. We find that low-skilled individuals tend to be strongly overoptimistic, whereas high-skilled individuals have ...

Optimal Taxation and Market Power

By Jan Eeckhout, Chunyang Fu, Wenjian Li, and Xi Weng

American Economic Review, January 2026

Should optimal income taxation change when firms have market power? We analyze how the planner can optimally tax labor income of workers and profits of entrepreneurs. We derive optimal tax rates that depend on markups and identify four distinct components...

Financial Frictions: Micro versus Macro Volatility

By Renato Faccini, Seungcheol Lee, Ralph Luetticke, Morten O. Ravn, and Tobias Renkin

American Economic Review, February 2026

We argue that consumer credit spreads matter for household choices and that time-varying spreads have important distributional consequences. Studying Danish household data, we show that consumer credit spreads have heterogeneous impact on asset dynamics a...

Wealth, Marriage, and Sex Selection

By Girija Borker, Jan Eeckhout, Nancy Luke, Shantidani Minz, Kaivan Munshi, and Soumya Swaminathan

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, April 2026

Two mechanisms have been proposed to explain sex selection in India: son preference, in which parents desire a male heir, and daughter aversion, in which dowry payments make parents worse off with girls. Our model incorporates both mechanisms, providing m...