Measuring the Macroeconomic Impact of Carbon Taxes
- (pp. 101-06)
Abstract
Policymakers often express concern about the impact of carbon taxes on employment or GDP. Using a new dataset on carbon tax rates, we estimate the macroeconomic impacts of these taxes on GDP and employment growth rates for various specifications and samples. Our point estimates suggest a zero to modest positive impact on GDP and total employment growth rates. More importantly, we find no robust evidence of a negative effect of the tax on employment or GDP growth. For the European experience at least, we find no support for the view that carbon taxes are job or growth killers.Citation
Metcalf, Gilbert E., and James H. Stock. 2020. "Measuring the Macroeconomic Impact of Carbon Taxes." AEA Papers and Proceedings, 110: 101-06. DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20201081Additional Materials
JEL Classification
- E23 Macroeconomics: Production
- E24 Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
- H23 Taxation and Subsidies: Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
- Q54 Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
- Q56 Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth
- Q58 Environmental Economics: Government Policy