AEA Papers and Proceedings
ISSN 2574-0768 (Print) | ISSN 2574-0776 (Online)
Declining Occupations and Career Outcomes in Norway
AEA Papers and Proceedings
(pp. 251–255)
Abstract
Occupational change is a central feature of modern labor markets. This paper examines the career consequences in Norway of being initially employed in an occupation that subsequently declines during 2007–2024. Workers initially employed in occupations that later decline by at least 25 percent demonstrate 0.4 lower future years of work, although this employment difference is mostly explained by other individual traits. These workers, conditional on controls, experience a 4.7 percent reduction in future cumulative earnings relative to starting earnings, akin to losing one year’s worth of earnings over 2007–2024.Citation
Barth, Erling, Maria Forthun Hoen, Sari Pekkala Kerr, and William Kerr. 2026. "Declining Occupations and Career Outcomes in Norway." AEA Papers and Proceedings 116: 251–255. DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20261005Additional Materials
JEL Classification
- J22 Time Allocation and Labor Supply
- J31 Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
- J62 Job, Occupational, and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion