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Marriott Marquis, Grand Ballroom 4
American Economic Association & Committee on the Status of Minority Groups in the Economics Profession
CSMGEP Dissertation Session
Friday, Jan. 3, 2020 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM (PDT)
- Chair: Kalena E. Cortes, Texas A&M University
The Effect of Teenage Pregnancy on Schooling and Labor Force Participation: Evidence From Urban South Africa
AbstractPolicy makers often express concerns over the lasting implications of teenage pregnancy, due to the observation that young mothers have worse health, less schooling, and poorer job market performance in adulthood. However, because there is selection into early motherhood, the causal impact of teenage pregnancy on human capital investments is difficult to estimate. Additionally, the majority of the literature has focused on high-income settings. I examine the impact of teenage pregnancy in Cape Town, South Africa, on educational outcomes and future labor-force participation using two main identification strategies. I use an instrumental variable strategy that relies on the number of fertile teenage years as an instrument for teenage pregnancy and exploit differences among a subsample of sisters in which one sister reported a teenage pregnancy and at least one did not. I find an increase of approximately 50 percentage points in the likelihood of failing a grade and an increase of 27\% (10 percentage points) in the probability of dropping out of school. As for overall school attainment, teenagers who report a pregnancy are, on average, less educated by 1.8 fewer years. Finally, two specific South African characteristics mitigate the negative effects of teenage pregnancy. My findings suggest that strong familial networks, measured by the presence of the mother of the teenage mother, and attendance at a school with higher rates of grade repetition are associated with an attenuation effect of 0.5 and 0.4 years, respectively.
Of IVs and IUDs: Assessing the Effect of LARC Use on Pregnancies Using an Instrumental Variables Approach
AbstractEffective contraceptives have increased women’s welfare by allowing better control of the timing of fertility and the number of children born. Many forms of contraceptives rely on correct and consistent use to achieve low failure rates, potentially leaving benefits of fertility control forgone due to user error. Long-acting reversible contraceptives (LARCs) are very effective and do not rely on user adherence, thus increased LARC use may be welfare improving for women. Whether or not LARCs increase fertility control depends on the type of contraceptive the woman would have otherwise used and how well she would have used it. In this paper, I use exogenous variation in LARC use due to a change in provider recommendations to estimate the causal impact of long-acting methods on pregnancies and births. The instrumental variables results indicate that LARC use substantially decreases the probability of pregnancy and birth in the subsequent year.
School Spending and Student Outcomes: Evidence from Revenue Limit Elections in Wisconsin
AbstractThis study examines the causal impact of additional school spending on student outcomes. State-imposed revenue limits cap the total amount of revenue that a school district in Wisconsin can raise. If a district wishes to exceed this cap, it must hold a local referendum. I leverage close elections in a dynamic regression discontinuity framework to identify the impact of additional spending on educational outcomes. Importantly, Wisconsin law requires school districts to hold separate referenda for operational purposes (e.g., instruction and support services) and for bond issues targeted to fund school facility investments. This allows me to estimate the independent effects of additional operational and capital expenditures. I find that narrowly passing an operational referendum leads to a 5% increase in per-pupil spending. Districts allocate most of these additional resources to instruction, yielding increases in teacher experience and compensation, and reductions in class sizes and teacher turnover. Increases in operational funds result in a 25% reduction in the dropout rate, an increase in test scores of approximately 30% of a standard deviation, and a 15% increase in postsecondary enrollment. In contrast, narrowly approving a bond referendum leads to a sharp and immediate increase in capital outlays. These additional funds are primarily used to repair, maintain, or upgrade existing structures and are not associated with improvements in student outcomes.
University of Michigan
Marie T. Mora,
University of Missouri-St. Louis
University of California-Santa Barbara
University of California-Santa Cruz
University of Texas-Austin
- I0 - General
- J0 - General