Bank Lending
Paper Session
Saturday, Jan. 4, 2025 12:30 PM - 2:15 PM (PST)
- Chair: Diana Bonfim, Banco de Portugal and Católica Lisbon
Joining Forces: Why Banks Syndicate Credit
Abstract
Banks can grant loans to firms bilaterally or in syndicates. We study this choice by combining bilateral loan data with syndicated loan data. We show that loan size alone does not adequately explain syndication. Instead, banks' ability to manage risks and firm riskiness drive the choice to syndicate. Banks are more likely to syndicate loans if their risk-bearing capacity is low and if screening and monitoring come at a high cost. Syndicated loans are more expensive and more sensitive to loan risk than bilateral loans. Our findings contradict the hypothesis that reputable borrowers graduate to the syndicated loan market.CovenantAI - New Insights into Covenant Violations
Abstract
This paper introduces CovenantAI, a novel artificial intelligence (AI)-powered tool that tracks SEC-reported covenant violations with improved accuracy over existing text-search methods, covering data from 1996 to 2022. It accurately identifies amendments, waivers, and technical defaults, providing a detailed timeline of covenant breaches. We use a “quasi” regression discontinuity approach to analyze the effects of these violations on key firm outcomes such as investments, employment, or credit access, revealing complex patterns and pronounced effects during economic downturns such as the COVID-19 pandemic. The changing loan market, resembling bond markets with the rise of CLOs and secondary trades, has decreased covenant reliance and violations among non-investment grade firms.Discussant(s)
Andrei Zlate
,
Federal Reserve Board
Margherita Bottero
,
Bank of Italy
Amanda Heitz
,
Tulane University
JEL Classifications
- G2 - Financial Institutions and Services
- G0 - General