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Applied Topics in Intergenerational Mobility Across Housing, Inheritances, and Retirement

Paper Session

Saturday, Jan. 3, 2026 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM (EST)

Philadelphia Marriott Downtown, Room 409
Hosted By: National Economic Association
  • Chair: Haydar Kurban, Howard University

Inheritances and Racial Wealth Gap

Haydar Kurban
,
Howard University
Nyanya Browne
,
Howard University
Beza Afework
,
Howard University
Digna Mosquera
,
Howard University

Abstract

One of the largest intergenerational wealth transfers in U.S. history will take place in the coming decades, with the potential to significantly reshape the United States’ socioeconomic landscape. Known as the “Great Wealth Transfer”, this shift will result in substantial wealth changing hands, primarily from the Baby Boomer generation to younger generations. We projected that roughly $120 trillion in wealth will be passed on through inheritances by 2045. The bulk of this transfer will occur among white, upper-income families. Black and Hispanic families, on average, will receive substantially smaller inheritances, further entrenching the racial wealth gap.
Receiving inheritance increases the likelihood of starting and owning a new business (Burman et al. 2018). Among higher-wealth households, inheritance has little influence on new business formation behavior as they already have the resources and access to capital needed for wealth-building. In contrast, financially constrained households are more likely to adjust their new business formation behavior when they receive financial windfalls. For those who face liquidity constraints, a dollar of inheritance generates about 18 cents of investment in depreciable assets (Holtz-Eakin et al. 1993) such as buildings, structures and intellectual property products. However, wealthier inheritance receivers who are less likely to be liquidity constrained, a dollar of inheritance induces 2.5 cents of investment in business formation (Holtz-Eakin et al. 1993).

District of Columbia Housing Purchase Assistance (HPAP) Program and Black Homeownership

Bethel Cole-Smith
,
Howard University
Haydar Kurban
,
Howard University
Daniel Muhammad
,
District of Columbia Government
Susan Steward
,
District of Columbia Government

Abstract

Like many urban areas, the District of Columbia faces a housing affordability crisis.
The District has one of the lowest homeownership rates in the country. The DC Government’s homeownership assistance programs, the Home Purchase
Assistance Program (HPAP) that provides gap financing to lower-to-middle-income households to become first time homeowners in DC. By using household level administrative data and individual income tax records, we attempt to provide answers to the following research questions: 1) Do these programs provide homeownership opportunities to lower-to- middle class Black residents in DC? 2) To what extent have these programs achieved the goal of improving housing affordability and racial equity? An important contribution of this paper is that it has individual level information on both spatial distribution of eligible population, and the program beneficiaries in DC. By merging administrative HPAP data with neighborhood level U.S. Census data and DC government income tax data we can identify the spatial distribution of the eligible population and the successful applicants in DC. Our preliminary results indicate that about 72 percent of the program beneficiaries are African Americans. This outcome is mainly driven by the involvement of the local community-based organizations that recruit and guide the program participants at varies stages of the application process.

Impact of Airbnb on the Supply of Affordable Housing

Haydar Kurban
,
Howard University
Joseph Dean
,
Howard University
Gulriz Kurban
,
Howard University

Abstract

The impact of Short-Term Rentals (STRs, like those offered through Airbnb,) on local housing outcomes has been the subject of intense and publicized debate among market actors in many urban areas. The advent of home-sharing platforms such as Airbnb and Vacation Rentals by Owners (VRBO) has induced a shift in housing market behavior and its respective stakeholders including lawmakers, developers, housing providers, and renters. While there is growing literature on the socio-economic impact of home-sharing markets on housing prices, neighborhood change and displacement of lower income renters, little research has focused on whether Airbnb and other STRs decrease affordable housing opportunities for Housing Choice Voucher Program (HCVP) participants. Using proprietary Airbnb/VRBO listing data, property and income tax data from DC government and socio-economic data from U.S. Census, this study aims to provide answers to this research question. The DC Council enacted a regulation in 2008 that restricted the activities of Airbnb and other STRs in DC. Airbnb data for 2014-2022 allows us to assess the pre and post regulation effects of Airbnb on affordable housing market in DC.

New Estimates on Generational Wealth and its Impact on the Racial Wealth Gaps

Robert B. Williams
,
Guilford College

Abstract

This paper examines the role of generational wealth as it affects the racial wealth gaps. In particular, it examines both the Black / White and the Latinx / White wealth gaps.
It does so by using the detailed household data as collected by the three most recent Surveys of Consumer Finances. Including a variety of demographic, human capital, savings, inheritance and family characteristics, this paper uses decomposition techniques to identify the relative importance of each. Rather than use the traditional Oaxaca-Blinder method, I use the alternative recentered influence function (RIF). This technique offers two advantages. First, it allows one to apply the decomposition analysis beyond simply the mean. One can examine how the selected endowments influence the racial wealth gaps differently along the full wealth continuum. Second, it does not require an assumption of linearity between the endowments and their effects on household wealth. This is particularly important when examining household wealth.
This paper expands recent contributions in this area by taking a more robust view of generational wealth. Not only does it include family gifts and bequests, but also help with college and access to credit. The importance of such family help is examined at the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles as well as the mean. Unsurprisingly, this broader interpretation of generational wealth expands the role of family help as compared to the recent contributions.

Social Security and Retirement of Older Blacks and Hispanics

Emma Aguila
,
University of Southern California
Zeewan Lee
,
National University of Singapore

Abstract

While aging and income inequality have led to worsening retirement financial insecurity for U.S. Blacks and Hispanics, there has been little research regarding their retirement decisions. Using Health and Retirement Study 2000-2020 linked with restricted SSA records, we calculate the Social Security wealth and peak value retirement incentive by race, considering distinct earnings histories, employment gaps, and survival probabilities. We found that Social Security wealth encourages retirement for Blacks and Whites but not for Hispanics. Blacks’ and Hispanics’ unresponsiveness to other well-documented retirement drivers highlights the importance of analyzing aging individuals separately by race/ethnic origin. The non-responsiveness could stem from a lack of long-term financial preparedness, access to other sources of retirement income, and other social and labor market barriers during their working life.

Discussant(s)
Durronjae Boothe
,
Howard University
Enrique Lopezlira
,
University of California-Berkeley
Sondra Collins
,
Mississippi Institutions of Higher Learning
JEL Classifications
  • J6 - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers