How Do Government Guarantees Affect Deposit Supply?
Abstract
"The market value of deposit insurance changes over time and across banks as the value of theunderlying put option changes, but the premium they pay for the insurance does not adjust
to completely capture this variation. As a result, the effective subsidy that banks enjoy from
deposit insurance changes over time and across banks, affecting their incentive to supply deposits. Factors that change the market value of insurance, such as asset risk and interest rates,
move the supply curve. Consistent with this idea, we show that the deposit supply curve shifts
outward during periods of high risk and for riskier banks. The effect is more pronounced for
insured deposits. Our findings uncover a novel channel of deposit supply, with immediate implications for the transmission of monetary policies and existing research on “deposit channel
of monetary policy” and “reaching-for-yield” literature."