« Back to Results

Labor Markets, Skills and Imperfect Competition

Paper Session

Saturday, Jan. 4, 2025 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM (PST)

Hilton San Francisco Union Square, Union Square 11
Hosted By: Econometric Society
  • Chair: Michael Patrick Keane, University of New South Wales

What Explains the Growing Gender Education Gap? The Effects of Parental Background, the Labor Market and the Marriage Market on College Attainment

Zvi Eckstein
,
Interdisciplinary Center Herzlya
Michael Patrick Keane
,
University of New South Wales
Osnat Lifshitz
,
Reichman University

Abstract

In the 1960 cohort, American men and women graduated from college at the same rate, and this was true for Whites, Blacks and Hispanics. But in more recent cohorts, women graduate at much higher rates than men. To understand the emerging gender education gap, we formulate and estimate a model of individual and family decision-making where education, labor supply, marriage and fertility are all endogenous. Assuming preferences that are common across ethnic groups and fixed over cohorts, our model explains differences in all endogenous variables by gender/ethnicity for the ‘60-‘80 cohorts based on three exogenous factors: family background, labor market and marriage market constraints. Changes in parental background are a key factor driving the growing gender education gap: Women with college educated mothers get greater utility from college, and are much more likely to graduate themselves. The marriage market also contributes: Women’s chance of getting marriage offers at older ages has increased, enabling them to defer marriage. The labor market is the largest factor: Improvement in women’s labor market return to college in recent cohorts accounts for 50% of the increase in their graduation rate. But the labor market returns to college are still greater for men. Women go to college more because their overall return is greater, after factoring in marriage market returns and their greater utility from college attendance. We predict the recent large increases in women’s graduation rates will cause their children’s graduation rates to increase further. But growth in the aggregate graduation rate will slow substantially, due to significant increases in the share of Hispanics – a group with a low graduation rate – in recent birth cohorts.

The Labor Market Effects of Disability Hiring Quotas

Christiane Szerman
,
University College London

Abstract

People with disabilities are underemployed across the world. To increase their representation, more than 100 countries have established quota regulations requiring firms to hire people with disabilities. This paper studies the labor market consequences of enforcing modest disability hiring quotas. Using the introduction of a reform in Brazil that enhanced enforcement of a new hiring quota regulation, my market-level analysis finds that people with disabilities
in local labor markets more exposed to the reform experienced larger increases in employment and earnings. Leveraging variation in enforcement across firms, I document three key margins along which firms respond to the quota scheme. First, firms hire more workers with disabilities into low-paying jobs. Second, workers with disabilities experience reduced wage growth. Third, the quota also does not come at a cost to workers without disabilities in
terms of wages or employment, or to firms in terms of closure. Through the lens of a simple model, I show that the policy generates aggregate welfare gains. My findings support that, in labor markets characterized by discrimination in hiring, mandating modest increases in
employment for the disadvantaged can promote redistribution and improve welfare.

Monopsony Power in the Gig Economy

Jack Fisher
,
London School of Economics

Abstract

Many workers provide services for customers via platforms that may exert monopsony power. Typical expositions of this phenomenon are inapplicable because platforms post prices, rather than wages, to both sides of a two-sided market. Further, platform-specific labor supply is hard to measure. This paper develops a model of a ridesharing gig market that explicitly incorporates these issues. Intermediaries exploit monopsony power to markup commission and reduce equilibrium wages. A driver union sets the first-best commission rate when the passenger market is competitive. Estimating the model with public data on Uber suggests this is relevant; the platform faces competition for passengers but leverages monopsony power to depress wages by 14 percent. First-best commission rates increase the welfare of Uber’s 1.5 million US drivers by 20 percent. Conversely, minimum wages on utilized hours fail to benefit workers.

Identification and Estimation of Continuous-Time Job Search Models with Preference Shocks

Peter Arcidiacono
,
Duke University
Attila Gyetvai
,
Bank of Portugal
Arnaud Maurel
,
Duke University, NBER and IZA
Ekaterina Jardim
,
Amazon

Abstract

This paper applies some of the key insights of dynamic discrete choice models to continuous-time job search models. We propose a novel framework that incorporates preference shocks into search models, resulting in a tight connection between value functions and conditional choice probabilities. Including preference shocks allows us to establish constructive identification of all the model parameters. Our method also makes it possible to estimate rich nonstationary job search models in a simple and tractable way, without having to solve any differential equations. We apply our framework using rich longitudinal data from Hungarian administrative records, allowing for nonstationarities in offer arrival rates, wage offers, and in the flow payoff of unemployment. Longer unemployment durations are associated with substantially worse wage offers and lower offer arrival rates, which results in accepted wages falling over time.
JEL Classifications
  • J14 - Economics of the Elderly; Economics of the Handicapped; Non-Labor Market Discrimination
  • J42 - Monopsony; Segmented Labor Markets