The Elements of Veblen’s q Theory and Minsky’s “Two-Price Theory of Investment” to Understand the Capital Market Route
Abstract
This paper discusses the role of Thorstein Veblen’s q theory and Hyman Minsky’s “Two-pricetheory of investment” in understanding the funcFoning of the capital market route as a crucial
transmission channel for monetary policy in developed economies. The paper offers an empirical
and theoreFcal study of Veblen’s q for the economy of the United States of America for the period
of 1970 to 2021, linking it with Minsky’s “Two-price theory of investment,” showing the
complementarity and relevance to understanding the role of the capital market route for
monetary policy. It is known that Veblen’s analysis focuses on capitalizaFon by highlighFng the
role of managers in creaFng the valuaFon of stocks or, in his terms, increasing putaFve earnings
(market value) over actual earnings (replacement cost). And Minsky’s two-price theory
emphasizes the importance of the margins of safety for firms’ investment plans. Thus, in an
uncertain world with low short-term interest rates, investment plans are affected by the
possibility of capital loss on long-term bonds if the interest rate rises in the future since an
increase in the short-term rate will translate into increases in the long-term interest rates.
Therefore, Veblen’s q theory fits Minsky’s arguments for understanding the capital route for
monetary policy. Veblen’s q raFo tells us that managers focus on the capitalizaFon of their
companies, which might impact investment by reducing long-term external financing. These
pracFces drive the economy to increase capital share while wage falls in real terms. Thus, the
economy faces a fall in the wage share due to a monetary policy decision transmiUed via the
capital market, as Minsky (1968) suggested.